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Fed Decision in September?

fomc Vol $4,226,323 84 traders

25 bps decrease4%
25 bps increase46%
No change43%
50+ bps decrease2%
$4,226,323 Vol. fomc

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
4%
No change
43% ▼ 3
25 bps increase
46% ▼ 3
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x5e92…b53f BUY Yes $13.20 2m ago
  • 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $3.26 11m ago
  • 0xf114…8003 SELL Yes $3.60 50m ago
  • 0x49ae…f3ba BUY Yes $181.70 50m ago
  • 0xf114…8003 SELL Yes $1.90 50m ago
  • 0xdc13…cbca SELL Yes $0.20 51m ago
  • 0xdc13…cbca SELL Yes $3.58 51m ago
  • 0xdc13…cbca BUY Yes $4.07 52m ago
  • 0xdc13…cbca BUY Yes $2.09 52m ago
  • 0xf569…a965 BUY No $221.47 58m ago
  • 0x832b…5c91 SELL No $2232.43 1h ago
  • 0x832b…5c91 SELL No $744.14 1h ago
  • 0x832b…5c91 SELL No $1171.17 1h ago
  • 0x9536…7e50 BUY No $539.99 1h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $206.90 1h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $83.42 1h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $364.64 1h ago
  • 0x7ed2…41fb BUY No $191.96 1h ago
  • 0x40c5…5cba BUY No $245.87 1h ago
  • 0xc4e7…db45 BUY No $594.54 1h ago
  • 0x212f…7fd2 BUY Yes $18.40 1h ago
  • 0x40c5…5cba BUY No $98.44 1h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $128.22 1h ago
  • 0xc61e…244c BUY Yes $223.25 1h ago
  • 0xdc76…5f55 BUY No $14.56 1h ago
  • 0xbec4…b075 BUY Yes $3.06 1h ago
  • 0xbec4…b075 BUY Yes $5.10 1h ago
  • 0xbec4…b075 BUY Yes $45.90 1h ago
  • 0xbec4…b075 BUY Yes $45.90 1h ago
  • 0xbec4…b075 BUY Yes $1.02 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.21 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.05 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.11 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $2.25 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $2.20 1h ago
  • 0x329f…79b0 SELL Yes $15.15 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.11 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.21 1h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $2.20 1h ago
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $2.15 1h ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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