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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Awards Vol $22,874,384 457 traders

Donald Trump4%
UNRWA9%
Greta Thunberg1%
Xi Jinping1%
$22,874,384 Vol. Awards

Outcomes

71
Chance
Donald Trump
4%
Pope Leo XIV
4%
Yulia Navalnaya
11%
Julian Assange
2%
Greta Thunberg
1%
Elon Musk
<1%
UNRWA
9%
International Court of Justice
2%
António Guterres
2%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
7%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4%
Vladimir Putin
<1%
Khaled Mashal
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
<1%
Xi Jinping
<1%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
<1%
Charlie Kirk
<1%
Mohammed bin Salman
<1%
Narendra Modi
2%
Person A
0%
Person B
0%
Person C
0%
Person D
0%
Person E
0%
Person F
0%
Person G
0%
Person H
0%
Person I
0%
Person J
0%
Person K
0%
Person L
0%
Person M
0%
Person N
0%
Person O
0%
Person P
0%
Person Q
0%
Person R
0%
Person S
0%
Person T
0%
Person U
0%
Person V
0%
Person W
0%
Person X
0%
Person Y
0%
Person Z
0%
Person AA
0%
Person AB
0%
Person AC
0%
Person AD
0%
Person AE
0%
Person AF
0%
Person AG
0%
Person AH
0%
Person AI
0%
Person AJ
0%
Person AK
0%
Person AL
0%
Person AM
0%
Person AN
0%
Person AO
0%
Person AP
0%
Person AQ
0%
Person AR
0%
Person AS
0%
Person AT
0%
Person AU
0%
Person AV
0%
Person AW
0%
Person AX
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

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  • 0xff3b…6c9e BUY No $2.25 6s ago
  • 0x97c6…6587 SELL No $53.70 3m ago
  • 0x97c6…6587 BUY No $53.76 4m ago
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  • 0x945e…db17 BUY No $4.45 21m ago
  • 0x608f…333c BUY No $7.25 23m ago
  • 0x9cfe…134c BUY No $7.08 25m ago
  • 0x01d2…c603 SELL No $0.22 36m ago
  • 0x01d2…c603 SELL No $0.79 36m ago
  • 0x8db8…c3f0 SELL No $0.12 37m ago
  • 0x8db8…c3f0 SELL No $0.45 37m ago
  • 0x7880…9154 BUY No $7.39 46m ago
  • 0x5384…c3a8 BUY No $4.67 50m ago
  • 0x7bde…8a59 BUY No $7.98 51m ago
  • 0x10b2…3ee1 BUY No $2.70 52m ago
  • 0x5508…068c BUY No $5.37 1h ago
  • 0x01d2…c603 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
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  • 0x9296…c9e7 BUY No $6.98 1h ago
  • 0x54a8…5743 BUY No $1.79 1h ago
  • 0x1e63…7267 SELL No $8.87 1h ago
  • 0x37f4…ae3c BUY No $8.19 1h ago
  • 0x1e63…7267 BUY No $8.89 1h ago
  • 0xf4c0…f9b2 SELL No $2.56 2h ago
  • 0xf4c0…f9b2 BUY No $2.57 2h ago
  • 0x8575…af23 BUY No $7.34 2h ago
  • 0x5bb8…5afa BUY No $6.27 2h ago
  • 0x2671…5cb0 BUY No $6.27 2h ago
  • 0x2fa9…9fc5 BUY No $7.49 2h ago
  • 0xd28f…82f9 BUY No $2.26 2h ago
  • 0x8671…ad29 BUY No $2.38 3h ago
  • 0x1762…c052 BUY No $1.25 3h ago

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Comments

8908DFG 3h ago

Charlie Kirk

vc789bjn 8h ago

hould add the

567GHJ8 10h ago

ts a shame

890BHJ3 Jul 16

nuo beri er

cvbn09 Jul 3

xijinping

ZnotluvuiSamez Jul 2

🦩🦩🦩

yihib9 Jun 28

go d

Chococremeux Jun 25

its a shame that F. Albanese is being snubbed over trump, bibi or xi

.NSR Jun 24

C’mon Charlie Kirk , what is wrong with PolyM ?

.tyrionx Jun 17

you know where is drop?

Hodetovervann Jun 13

They should add the primeminister of Pakistan as a bet.

Orca1 Jun 4

Why is Zelenskyy so high? What has he done for peace? He is doing a very good job at defending his country but this isn't the best defender prize, it's a peace prize.

BrumelCompanyLTD Jun 3

Greta, God bless you

WageringGrandma Jun 11

You are tripping.

BrumelCompanyLTD Jun 3

comeee on

NoSteinNoGate May 31

Do people give Trump a chance because he ended the war in Iran 30 times?

dacron May 31

lmao

Djik May 27

"If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner." Why??? "... the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market." What? If several winners, it should be several Yes. What is this scam?

Djik May 27

"If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner."the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

Djik May 27

Haha, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump!

DFK May 24

Maybe Trump will be the one to finally bring peace in the Middle East

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 May 18

Trump has no cards :)

bosshog May 16

satoshiAncap walked so anoin could run

taerv534 May 15

anoin jesus christ man just hang it up

GollumGekko May 15

come on gunnar slam the book

Hodetovervann May 8

Antonio Guterres term is over this year. Perhaps a peace prize is a good parting gift from his role...

Kentastrof1 May 2

2026 award is for what you have done during the year 2025...

porbee Apr 29

Add Benjamin Netanyahu

porbee Apr 29

And AIPAC

Cremerica Apr 23

I'd like to see Reza Pahlavi on the list. If by some miracle, the Iranian people can successfully overthrow the IRGC and install some form of democracy, Then Pahlavi would be an excellent candidate (IMO).

Kentastrof1 May 2

The 2026 award is given for what you have done during the year 2025.

iutwpfal May 10

Lmao

Kenbu Apr 19

Pakistan's Sharif? Add plz

loadedprophet Apr 16

Pope Leo under valued

Chococremeux Apr 16

That list is not serious. On one side, the warlords : trump, bibi, al-shara, bin salman, modi, putin... On the other side, you have some murican content creator like musk and kirk or the autistic greta... Instead, should add Sharif (PAK) Albanese (UN), Sheinbaum (Mex for cuba), Sanchez...

whoever9509 Apr 10

LOL 8% for Trump

CompromisedGuy Apr 14

I was thinking the same lol, he shouldn't be added here like, whoever thinks he deserves it, must be because it would be a nice trade like, yo get this and stop the war you little narcissist kid hahahah

CompromisedGuy Apr 14

He only deserves it if he agrees to stop the war in exchange lol

Goandsee Apr 9

International Red Cross should be added

Goandsee Apr 9

ICRC

alexwinten Apr 7

Marwan Barghouti could be added

MrKangaroo Apr 2

Trump sits at 7% on Polymarket versus 2-to-1 in European sportsbooks - i am gay. the betting markets are also gay. The Norwegian Nobel Committee, gay too. chatgpt nonsense.. which is exactly why the 7% is defensible. But if any concrete peace deal materializes, we are all gay; in Ukraine or the Middle East before October.

ShadowOrb Apr 3

yes you are

DaMonkeyHope Apr 14

In which european sportbooks do you see 2 to 1 for Trump? I dont believe it if I don't see😅

ISnortGlue Mar 30

why is charlie kirk even an option

0x11EE4D6ecf41ea719050dbB128D88970331A2AaA-1772629156022 Mar 30

I want to know why is not Pedro Sanchez (Spanish PM) listed here

Car Mar 26

getting rid of the Iranian Regime and preventing them from getting a nuclear weapon is lowkey bullish for Nobel Peace Prize

tmcm Mar 29

The ethnosupremacist terrorist regime with nukes is not Iran

DFK Apr 3

Car probably agrees with you. He is only doing is job as a scam artist.

alexwinten Mar 24

The International Criminal Court and even Nicolas Guillou could be a proposition.

alexwinten Mar 18

Dead peole can't have Nobel Prices. Why is there even a bet ?