Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Recent trades
25- 0x6c66…0d67 SELL No $25.65 2m ago
- 0x44d4…60d1 SELL Yes $8.66 31m ago
- 0x2c6f…deee BUY No $680.98 51m ago
- 0x0c2c…dce3 BUY No $10.00 4h ago
- 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL Yes $4.41 4h ago
- 0x6625…4fed BUY No $2.00 5h ago
- 0x7b58…eb2b SELL Yes $63.00 6h ago
- 0x7761…f504 BUY No $2.37 7h ago
- 0x993c…6787 SELL Yes $121.08 7h ago
- 0x14c3…bfb9 BUY Yes $200.00 8h ago
- 0x14c3…bfb9 BUY Yes $200.00 8h ago
- 0xa7f4…1e31 BUY No $5.00 8h ago
- 0x2337…f457 BUY No $2.00 11h ago
- 0xde9c…b1d6 BUY Yes $2.00 13h ago
- 0x5297…7b99 BUY No $99.24 13h ago
- 0xafaf…3ce1 BUY No $1.95 13h ago
- 0x0f33…556c SELL No $366.22 13h ago
- 0x1da7…0e20 BUY Yes $10.00 14h ago
- 0x5235…c04a BUY No $1170.00 14h ago
- 0x5235…c04a BUY No $360.36 14h ago
- 0xd5f0…932c BUY No $1.50 16h ago
- 0xb1a0…e45e SELL Yes $2.56 17h ago
- 0x22b6…56cb BUY No $1.00 17h ago
- 0x1e1b…0c00 BUY No $30.00 18h ago
- 0xfe5a…0c7c BUY No $46.00 18h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for September 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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