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Brazil Presidential Election

Politics Vol. $124,052,026 2481 traders

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva67%
Flávio Bolsonaro29%
Renan Santos5%
Ronaldo Caiado1%
$124,052,026 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

32
Chance
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
67% ▲ 3
Jair Bolsonaro
<1% ▼ 1
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Renan Santos
5% ▼ 2
Flávio Bolsonaro
29% ▲ 1
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Romeu Zema
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Person M
0%
Person N
0%
Person O
0%
Person P
0%
Person Q
0%
Person R
0%
Person S
0%
Person T
0%
Person U
0%
Person V
0%
Person W
0%
Person X
0%
Person Y
0%
Person Z
0%
Other
0%

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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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