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Iran leader end of 2026?
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Mojtaba Khamenei
$6,895,706 Vol.
86%
1%
No Head of State
$1,172,391 Vol.
4%
Reza Pahlavi
$709,653 Vol.
3%
Alireza Arafi
$2,330,472 Vol.
2%
1%
Hassan Rouhani
$953,309 Vol.
<1%
Abbas Araghchi
$839,314 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$786,355 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Khomeini
$1,456,412 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
$928,129 Vol.
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,036,167 Vol.
<1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
$476,129 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Larijani
$590,266 Vol.
<1%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
$1,135,815 Vol.
<1%
Maryam Rajavi
$906,852 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Khatami
$5,222,005 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Shariatmadari
$3,180,445 Vol.
<1%
Massoud Rajavi
$436,697 Vol.
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
$3,729,353 Vol.
<1%
Reza Pirzadeh
$187,854 Vol.
<1%
Navid Shomali
$259,878 Vol.
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
$239,417 Vol.
<1%
Ali Motahari
$860,229 Vol.
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
$442,679 Vol.
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
$3,386,160 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
$275,835 Vol.
<1%
Saeed Jalili
$425,099 Vol.
<1%
Mohsen Araki
$324,946 Vol.
<1%
Nasir Hosseini
$300,768 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
$333,135 Vol.
<1%
Ali Asghar Hejazi
$393,370 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Pakpour
$0 Vol.
0%
Ali Larijani
$236,860 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appo... This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: Feb 28, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
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