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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
$410,851 Vol.Apr 18, 2027PolyBet
Marine Le Pen
$19,452 Vol.
90%
1%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$24,671 Vol.
40%
Édouard Philippe
$10,493 Vol.
38%
3%
David Lisnard
$181,166 Vol.
14%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$11,631 Vol.
12%
Jordan Bardella
$23,736 Vol.
6%
1%
Bruno Retailleau
$4,098 Vol.
6%
Dominique de Villepin
$2,091 Vol.
6%
Gabriel Attal
$6,841 Vol.
5%
François Hollande
$15,860 Vol.
5%
Sarah Knafo
$5,266 Vol.
5%
Éric Zemmour
$742 Vol.
5%
Manuel Bompard
$7,286 Vol.
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
$2,500 Vol.
4%
Juan Branco
$4,548 Vol.
4%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$3,718 Vol.
4%
François Ruffin
$7,214 Vol.
4%
Gérald Darmanin
$2,360 Vol.
4%
François Asselineau
$1,871 Vol.
4%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$1,938 Vol.
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$5,793 Vol.
4%
Élisabeth Borne
$4,678 Vol.
4%
Fabien Roussel
$8,265 Vol.
3%
François Bayrou
$4,235 Vol.
3%
Ségolène Royal
$4,947 Vol.
3%
Carole Delga
$11,312 Vol.
2%
Laurent Wauquiez
$921 Vol.
2%
Clémence Guetté
$3,346 Vol.
2%
Clémentine Autain
$5,821 Vol.
2%
Marine Tondelier
$4,925 Vol.
2%
Mathilde Panot
$1,901 Vol.
2%
1%
Xavier Bertrand
$1,561 Vol.
1%
Michel Barnier
$3,259 Vol.
1%
Valérie Pécresse
$3,179 Vol.
1%
Jean Castex
$3,111 Vol.
1%
Olivier Faure
$6,002 Vol.
1%
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed can... The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/- No recent trades