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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
$424,303 Vol.Apr 18, 2027PolyBet
Marine Le Pen
$19,668 Vol.
90%
1%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$24,969 Vol.
43%
3%
Édouard Philippe
$10,660 Vol.
38%
2%
David Lisnard
$190,577 Vol.
15%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$11,631 Vol.
11%
1%
Jordan Bardella
$23,736 Vol.
6%
Bruno Retailleau
$4,098 Vol.
6%
Dominique de Villepin
$2,096 Vol.
6%
Gabriel Attal
$6,841 Vol.
5%
François Ruffin
$8,313 Vol.
5%
1%
François Hollande
$15,860 Vol.
5%
Sarah Knafo
$5,271 Vol.
5%
Éric Zemmour
$742 Vol.
5%
Manuel Bompard
$7,286 Vol.
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
$2,500 Vol.
4%
Juan Branco
$4,548 Vol.
4%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$3,718 Vol.
4%
Gérald Darmanin
$2,360 Vol.
4%
François Asselineau
$1,871 Vol.
4%
Élisabeth Borne
$5,876 Vol.
4%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$1,938 Vol.
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$5,793 Vol.
4%
Ségolène Royal
$5,487 Vol.
3%
Fabien Roussel
$8,265 Vol.
3%
François Bayrou
$4,235 Vol.
3%
Clémentine Autain
$5,966 Vol.
2%
Mathilde Panot
$1,901 Vol.
2%
1%
Clémence Guetté
$3,346 Vol.
2%
Carole Delga
$11,312 Vol.
2%
Laurent Wauquiez
$921 Vol.
2%
Marine Tondelier
$5,159 Vol.
2%
Xavier Bertrand
$1,561 Vol.
1%
Michel Barnier
$3,259 Vol.
1%
Valérie Pécresse
$3,179 Vol.
1%
Jean Castex
$3,217 Vol.
1%
Olivier Faure
$6,032 Vol.
<1%
1%
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed can... The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/- No recent trades