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Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
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No Next Minister by Feb 28
$52,200 Vol.
35%
1%
Naftali Bennett
$10,385 Vol.
18%
5%
Avigdor Lieberman
$16,003 Vol.
13%
1%
Itamar Ben Gvir
$773 Vol.
8%
Ofer Winter
$8,806 Vol.
8%
1%
Israel Katz
$7,538 Vol.
5%
4%
Bezalel Smotrich
$1,721 Vol.
5%
2%
Yair Lapid
$502 Vol.
2%
2%
Yoram Cohen
$611 Vol.
2%
2%
Gadi Eizenkot
$846 Vol.
2%
3%
Elazar Stern
$1,463 Vol.
1%
2%
Yair Golan
$836 Vol.
<1%
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$472 Vol.
<1%
1%
Benny Gantz
$3,094 Vol.
<1%
Amir Ohana
$206 Vol.
<1%
Yoaz Hendel
$162 Vol.
<1%
Moshe Feiglin
$724 Vol.
<1%
2%
Eli Cohen
$607 Vol.
<1%
Matan Kahana
$942 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replace... This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.
If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Defense are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no such Minister of Defense assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2026, 5:17 AM ET
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