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Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
$944,464 Vol.Dec 31, 2026PolyBet
Venezuela
$392,835 Vol.
9%
2%
Lebanon
$122,367 Vol.
7%
1%
Tunisia
$24,119 Vol.
6%
Indonesia
$28,460 Vol.
4%
Iraq
$17,720 Vol.
4%
Pakistan
$27,199 Vol.
4%
Saudi Arabia
$88,292 Vol.
4%
Syria
$22,569 Vol.
4%
Cuba
$15,994 Vol.
3%
Kuwait
$31,453 Vol.
3%
North Korea
$24,371 Vol.
3%
Iran
$20,529 Vol.
3%
Qatar
$51,516 Vol.
3%
Malaysia
$15,172 Vol.
3%
Afghanistan
$44,433 Vol.
2%
1%
Bangladesh
$17,435 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
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