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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Oil Vol. $189,320 50 traders

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …65%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …30%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Se…2%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Se…2%
$189,320 Vol. Nov 3, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$56,926 Vol.
65% 1%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$47,566 Vol.
30% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$32,324 Vol.
2%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$54,099 Vol.
2% 1%

Rules

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Market Opened: Oct 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET