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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Oil Vol. $360,865 50 traders

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …68%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …30%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Se…1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Se…<1%
$360,865 Vol. Nov 3, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$57,744 Vol.
68% 1%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$71,591 Vol.
30% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$117,621 Vol.
1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$113,908 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.

Market Opened: Oct 12, 2026, 3:05 PM ET