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US Election predictions & odds

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%

Yes67%No34%

R Senate, D House

26%

Yes26%No75%

$29M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

44%

Yes44%No56%

Marco Rubio

15%

Yes15%No85%

$715M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

68%

Yes68%No33%

Ken Paxton (R)

33%

Yes33%No68%

$5M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%

Yes17%No83%

Gavin Newsom

16%

Yes16%No84%

$1.3B Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

92%

Yes92%No9%

Republican Party

9%

Yes9%No92%

$20M Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)

79%

Yes79%No22%

Vivek Ramaswamy (R)

22%

Yes22%No79%

$783K Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

67%

Yes67%No34%

Republican Party

34%

Yes34%No67%

$8M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%

Yes20%No80%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Yes13%No87%

$718M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)

66%

Yes66%No35%

Joe Lombardo (R)

34%

Yes34%No66%

$637K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)

63%

Yes63%No38%

Adam Hamilton (D)

38%

Yes38%No63%

$1M Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)

64%

Yes64%No36%

Gina Hinojosa (D)

36%

Yes36%No64%

$719K Vol.

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