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Chance
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane41%
Lionel Messi3%
Lamine Yamal27%
Ousmane Dembélé2%
Loading chart…
Outcomes
89Kylian Mbappé
12%
▲ 1
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Lamine Yamal
27%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Harry Kane
41%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Other
0%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Lionel Messi
3%
▼ 2
Rodri
12%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
▼ 1
Rodrygo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Gavi
0%
W
0%
X
0%
Y
0%
Z
0%
AA
0%
AB
0%
AC
0%
AD
0%
AE
0%
AF
0%
AG
0%
AH
0%
AI
0%
AJ
0%
AK
0%
AL
0%
AM
0%
AN
0%
AO
0%
AP
0%
AQ
0%
AR
0%
AS
0%
AT
0%
AU
0%
AV
0%
AW
0%
AX
0%
AY
0%
AZ
0%
BA
0%
BB
0%
BC
0%
BD
0%
BE
0%
BF
0%
BG
0%
BH
0%
BI
0%
BJ
0%
BK
0%
BL
0%
BM
0%
BN
0%
BO
0%
BP
0%
BQ
0%
BR
0%
BS
0%
BT
0%
BU
0%
BV
0%
BW
0%
BX
0%
BY
0%
BZ
0%
Recent trades
40- 0xdf3e…9129 BUY Yes $1.00 31s ago
- 0x983d…becf BUY Yes $20.00 16m ago
- 0xff48…c957 BUY Yes $1.00 22m ago
- 0x5307…4cb5 SELL Yes $0.10 25m ago
- 0x5307…4cb5 BUY Yes $2.00 28m ago
- 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY Yes $1.08 29m ago
- 0x90d4…c7c8 SELL Yes $1.08 29m ago
- 0x8493…1200 BUY No $10.00 39m ago
- 0xc65b…b345 BUY Yes $35.16 41m ago
- 0x13fb…7eee BUY Yes $1.00 43m ago
- 0xad6f…0244 SELL Yes $14.15 44m ago
- 0x6419…d43e BUY Yes $1.34 51m ago
- 0x1234…9bd1 BUY Yes $20.00 58m ago
- 0x6400…728f SELL Yes $2.70 58m ago
- 0x170b…3d20 BUY Yes $2.68 59m ago
- 0x170b…3d20 BUY Yes $1.16 59m ago
- 0x34c3…a6be SELL Yes $66.50 1h ago
- 0xe8d6…e410 SELL Yes $23.44 1h ago
- 0x34c3…a6be BUY Yes $66.75 1h ago
- 0x4247…91c4 BUY Yes $2.81 1h ago
- 0x7449…c05e BUY No $1.19 1h ago
- 0x5383…c499 BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
- 0x0edd…96c1 BUY Yes $1.21 1h ago
- 0x7934…b62f BUY Yes $20.00 1h ago
- 0x1743…3d6f BUY Yes $58.00 1h ago
- 0x9eea…9d7a BUY No $11.40 1h ago
- 0x4eb6…5e8a SELL Yes $0.96 1h ago
- 0x0164…9ed6 SELL Yes $138.00 1h ago
- 0x421b…206d SELL Yes $47.21 1h ago
- 0x7449…c05e BUY No $1.61 2h ago
- 0x00de…c6a5 SELL No $12.24 2h ago
- 0xf864…7fb5 SELL Yes $11.40 2h ago
- 0x166d…bbe2 BUY No $1693.99 2h ago
- 0x943d…4a7c BUY Yes $32.36 2h ago
- 0x75cb…7ba4 BUY Yes $18.00 2h ago
- 0xb935…2c1d BUY Yes $5.00 2h ago
- 0x6a8a…718d BUY Yes $4.96 2h ago
- 0x6a8a…718d BUY Yes $9.92 2h ago
- 0x3744…cb4b BUY Yes $95.67 2h ago
- 0x6a8a…718d BUY Yes $9.92 2h ago
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Comments
Having once played Golf with the best President of all time and resembling him the Most optically doesn’t automatically make you win Ballon D automatically ok?
I feel like this more of a voting poll rather than actual DD. In that case better to hit the lower brackets. Lamine good contender for just behind hella young. Mbappe probably the best contender.
Yes likely
HK Not even being on FIFA Top11 makes him currently bounce on all other markets. I guess the response here is langging hardcore, but it will come. And of Not I will just wait till election day.
how is kane there after not even being part of best 11 at the world cup? he will miss out on fifpro 11 too and will be the first ballon dor who isnt one of the best 11 players in a season. outscored by mbappe in every competition by a mile.
Fullyagree
Kane will simply Not win
why kane
Cause Most americans like his Looks and political appeal
I wish somebody else won it, but it's very likely Kane will take it home. Finally something is coming home! Ahaahaaa
Not After missing Fifa 11
best playe
Lamine
People who sold Mbappe Yes at 11 is donating money, they should build a charity foundation. Mbappe should be at level with Kane if not more.
are you out of your damn mind? Kane scored like 2x more goals and actually won the 3rd place in the WC, add the fact he won Bundesliga too and Mbappe did not win Primera and you're cooked, nobody will be voting for Mbappe
Without winning a single trophy lmao do you understand on what criteria the BO is given?
Definitely in front of HK
Definitely more
Annoying is that no
I know Kane is the sharp side because everyone in the comments is fading him. Whenever in doubt, fade the public!
Not always the case Kane will Not win
Being a favorite
Kane out of Dream Team of FIFA, are all of you crazy thinking he will win Ballon D'or LOL?
I wish somebody else won, but it's very likely Kane will take it home. Finally something is coming home! Ahaahaaa
He never wins it
People are going nuts only cause HK Hang out with their President before and played Golf
The best player ever shows up and produce yet another masterpiece, being by far the best player in the World Cup at the modest age of 39. 4 cents? I'll take those odds
Paredes should also be nominated.
Being a favorite doesn’t always mean winning. In the US election of 1948 President Harry S Truman Beat Thomas Dewey After being down 1:15 in the Traded market odds. I bet the same will Happen Here.
What is Annoying is that now have to wait until 26.10 until Lamine Lands in Front of Kane. This should have been an easy win where Kane should stand at 5% now. Now Need to wait to Book the win so annoying
not sure you should be holding half ur net worth on this mate
I will Watch all the predictions before final day on YouTube, Journals e.g. if I am 100% Sure and See the market is mispriced due to 1 continent betting on HK I am ready to throw 5 Bitcoins
If I have 10 btc throw 5 and lose all I still have 5
Bro, you are pathetic, your whole town doesn’t own 10 bitcoins.
Haha you Guys think I sit in a village in a very poor country. But where I am USD is paper Money
Everyone bet Harry Kane to win!
Gives a good Quota before Place 5 btc
Should I bet 5 Bitcoin on HK no ?
brother you are 1k $ in loss who are you talking to?
The Community not 1k loss
first you need to have them
Hahaha, you can really tell this was made by Americans who know nothing about football. Kane didn't even make FIFA's Team of the Tournament; he isn't even among the top 3 scorers of the World Cup—he's not even the #1 scorer for his own country. It's a World Cup year, guys; in 2023 they gave it to Messi even though he did nothing with his club. Be serious and don't throw your money away—Kane won't even be in the top 3. It's going to be Rodri or Yamal; Spain won, and that's that.
im sure viscabarca99 whos down 7k knows who will win!
Fully with you Bro, are You the German YouTuber ViscaBarca?
He knows HK will Not be it that’s smart move
Yes well, is not my fault this website have a gang can modify the thuth, but well we are here again, in something they can't manipulate
Yes well, is not my fault this website have a gang who can modify the truth and rules after make the market, I know we will recovery this 7k
Yes it takes 1 Rich guy who can easily change market odds. Let’s wait until 26.10 and oh surprise it will Not be Hk
Considering the odds of the other betting Houses HK should be around 20% this market is heavily skewed and likely correct before election day.
I did calculate the chances considering the odds of the top betting houses: Kane 21.2% Yamal 17.9% Rodri 16.3% Mbappe 12.8% Messi 10.1% Dembele 4.3% Kvara, Fabian, Rice, Olise, Jude, Haaland 2-4% each Others <2% each
Nice so this means this market is heavily skewed towards HK vs all the betting markets
Messi Pelé Beckenbauer Maradonna Ronaldo, Ronaldo El Phenomeno, Zidane, Ronaldinho, Harry Kane, does it Match?
Lamine my king 😘
Euro, WC, QBV, C1 Gerd Muller, Zidane, Beckenbauer and Rodri but Beckenbauer only have 2 ballon dor maybe Rodri will next 2 ballon dor
Would be fair . Could you imagine Harry Kane in A row with Messi Pelé Maradonna Beckenbauer?
Kane i think not wil be get ballon dor
Yes Bro fully agree
Where is Speed?
Here's why Mbappe would WIN it: -No one in history ever got laliga topscorer, UCL topscorer, and wolrdcup topscorer on the same season except Mbappe -All time worldcup topscorer overtaking Messi, this is high level achievement that would not be forgotten even 50 years later. -In competition where Mbappe and Kane both played (worldcup and UCL), Mbappe's always crushing Kane in term of goals scored, Kane only leading in local league that's why people say Kane is farming goals in bundes liga. So Mbappe's clearing Kane here. -The only thing lacking is trophy, but Messi and Ronaldo both have won Ballon D'or in trophyless season, so we could compromize that. -Now about Yamal and Rodri, if you ask any random person who knows ball to pick Yamal, Rodri, and Mbappe who has the best season performance, or the player who they'd rather have in their team, it's almost certain they'd pick Mbappe every single day. And Ballon D'or is decided by voting, by that "random person" (journalist) across countries. -Yamal not performing well on WC after injury, Rodri not performing well on Club due to injury. That said, Mbappe should be favorit here, the worst case scenario is he got second position. The reason he's not top 2 yet is "recency bias" because spain just won worldcup, wait for a month after worldcup and see the real ranking. It's easy 300-400% profit from here. And if he win it's 1000% profit. The biggest Yes seller is on 10.1 at $2k and he's basically giving away money.
The narrative surrounding him and Madrid was probably too negative, although I think he and Kane deserve it the most.