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Next French Presidential Election

French Election Vol $115,647,090 2312 traders

Mathilde Panot0%
François Bayrou0%
Yaël Braun-Pivet0%
François Asselineau0%
$115,647,090 Vol. French Election

Outcomes

128
Chance
Marine Le Pen
30% ▼ 1
Jordan Bardella
4%
Éric Zemmour
<1%
Édouard Philippe
27%
David Lisnard
2%
Xavier Bertrand
<1%
Laurent Wauquiez
<1%
François Ruffin
<1%
Gabriel Attal
2%
Bruno Retailleau
3%
François Hollande
3%
Raphaël Glucksmann
2%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
13%
Marine Tondelier
<1%
Fabien Roussel
<1%
Olivier Faure
<1%
Dominique de Villepin
2%
Ségolène Royal
<1%
François Asselineau
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
<1%
Michel Barnier
<1%
Valérie Pécresse
<1%
François Bayrou
<1%
Élisabeth Borne
<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%
Jean Castex
<1%
Gérald Darmanin
<1%
Carole Delga
<1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
<1%
Manuel Bompard
<1%
Mathilde Panot
<1%
Other
0%
Sarah Knafo
<1%
Juan Branco
<1%
Clémence Guetté
<1%
Sébastien Lecornu
2%
Karim Bouamrane
<1%
Lucie Castets
<1%
Yannick Jadot
<1%
François Baroin
<1%
Marion Maréchal
<1%
Person J
0%
Person K
0%
Person L
0%
Person M
0%
Person N
0%
Person O
0%
Person P
0%
Person Q
0%
Person R
0%
Person S
0%
Person T
0%
Person U
0%
Person V
0%
Person W
0%
Person X
0%
Person Y
0%
Person Z
0%
Person AA
0%
Person AB
0%
Person AC
0%
Person AD
0%
Person AE
0%
Person AF
0%
Person AG
0%
Person AH
0%
Person AI
0%
Person AJ
0%
Person AK
0%
Person AL
0%
Person AM
0%
Person AN
0%
Person AO
0%
Person AP
0%
Person AQ
0%
Person AR
0%
Person AS
0%
Person AT
0%
Person AU
0%
Person AV
0%
Person AW
0%
Person AX
0%
Person AY
0%
Person AZ
0%
Person BA
0%
Person BB
0%
Person BC
0%
Person BD
0%
Person BE
0%
Person BF
0%
Person BG
0%
Person BH
0%
Person BI
0%
Person BJ
0%
Person BK
0%
Person BL
0%
Person BM
0%
Person BN
0%
Person BO
0%
Person BP
0%
Person BQ
0%
Person BR
0%
Person BS
0%
Person BT
0%
Person BU
0%
Person BV
0%
Person BW
0%
Person BX
0%
Person BY
0%
Person BZ
0%
Person CA
0%
Person CB
0%
Person CC
0%
Person CD
0%
Person CE
0%
Person CF
0%
Person CG
0%
Person CH
0%
Person CI
0%
Person CJ
0%
Person CK
0%
Person CL
0%
Person CM
0%
Person CN
0%
Person CO
0%
Person CP
0%
Person CQ
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xfc17…8ad9 SELL Yes $19.74 5m ago
  • 0x1f91…b093 BUY No $3.03 5m ago
  • 0x4a52…3a32 BUY No $4.57 5m ago
  • 0xb1cc…765d BUY Yes $1.00 6m ago
  • 0xa2e0…fd91 BUY Yes $66.56 9m ago
  • 0x6a07…2952 BUY No $1.96 9m ago
  • 0xa2e0…fd91 BUY Yes $458.19 9m ago
  • 0xa2e0…fd91 BUY Yes $509.01 10m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL Yes $1.56 10m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY Yes $1.62 11m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL Yes $2.08 11m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY Yes $2.16 11m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL No $4.38 12m ago
  • 0xa7db…6688 SELL Yes $1.41 12m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 SELL No $5.84 12m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY No $5.18 13m ago
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY No $5.18 14m ago
  • 0x0df1…d129 BUY No $1.10 39m ago
  • 0x51a2…6dc3 SELL Yes $542.56 44m ago
  • 0x38ab…ab66 SELL No $0.46 52m ago
  • 0x26d6…11b9 BUY No $6.70 53m ago
  • 0x479d…d469 SELL Yes $769.60 56m ago
  • 0xc917…bfd5 BUY No $3.61 57m ago
  • 0xc383…fb44 BUY No $7.70 58m ago
  • 0x227b…76f9 SELL No $0.90 1h ago
  • 0x227b…76f9 SELL No $1.03 1h ago
  • 0x7449…c05e BUY No $1.43 1h ago
  • 0x7449…c05e BUY No $1.39 1h ago
  • 0x0d44…3c55 BUY No $1.84 1h ago
  • 0xbfc9…da3c BUY No $6.86 1h ago
  • 0x38ab…ab66 SELL No $1.94 1h ago
  • 0xa996…34b5 SELL No $1.44 2h ago
  • 0xa996…34b5 BUY No $1.37 2h ago
  • 0x38ab…ab66 BUY No $2.42 2h ago
  • 0xce94…34f6 BUY No $8.24 2h ago
  • 0x227b…76f9 BUY No $1.09 2h ago
  • 0x47af…56d5 BUY No $7.96 2h ago
  • 0x1563…5499 BUY No $5.24 2h ago
  • 0xea5e…5fa1 BUY No $7.16 2h ago
  • 0x0a01…a892 BUY Yes $2.00 2h ago

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Comments

benbrugger4484 1h ago

jadot??

benbrugger4484 1h ago

i like to see so many candidates on this race. good luck them

234df 3h ago

boris vallaud

9UFV4 9h ago

Matthieu Pigasse

nocturnal- 21h ago

tough

0xe4437E883FF59511e707d1136223Cec31bAC9E3E-1777466846933 23h ago

Add Matthieu Pigasse please

Loriztx Jul 20

Add Lagarde

0x4d745ea9dD3594f52EA1ab0073D03d45994D3b80-1764257678846 Jul 19

Lecornu higher in polls than Philippe and Attal

wheelingmatt Jul 19

what polls you saw that?

0xEB7d609131bDF21dCba6B31dAeB03499A29B859c-1767842169646 Jul 16

French people please do not vote for Marine Le Pen because she will heavily restrict unskilled immigration. I am from Morocco and I need to immigrate to France with my 2 wives and 8 children. Please think about your African brothers before casting your vote.

nicoco89 Jul 17

😂😂😂

0x51C8Dbac7624F214e9aFf815DDcA49B7639A22d8-1766273812029 Jul 19

@nicoco89 how do you win sm

KK88-636 Jul 20

Stop making me want to vote for her even more

54tyugbn Jul 21

🤔

yvanovic Jul 15

add boris vallaud

yvanovic Jul 15

comment rajouter un nouveau candidat, en la personne de boris vallaud ?

Manmadman Jul 15

Add Christine Lagarde

0x081158012928f629F5018A374a2025FB0A11527F-1783075987970 Jul 15

where's kylian mbappé?

LiquidatedDegen Jul 15

I'm recruiting 1 French politics expert for my little elections group chat, hit me up

DontTrustMe Jul 16

"recruiting" So what is the salary?

LiquidatedDegen Jul 16

access to alpha in other election markets. we have a local in every major election market.

wheelingmatt Jul 15

i hate when whales don't let us fill our orders at 3c

mcpetrus Jul 14

Melrnchon 13pc? He will never become president. He would lose in any runoff, but he won't even make it to the runoff—because one of the centrists, Attal or Philippe, will withdraw so that the other is guaranteed a spot in the runoff.

G.Hchen Jul 15

Let the LFItards be in denial and think they actually have a chance, they should bet more. Melenchon NO is the easiest bet ever

0x401615c0b1c3019C300F652ef7FAb8ce9c0b7036-1768568280654 Jul 12

C'est beau de voir Bardella pricé plus haut que Retailleau ou Attal alors qu'il est officiellement même plus candidat

0x4d745ea9dD3594f52EA1ab0073D03d45994D3b80-1764257678846 Jul 12

Good value on Lecornu

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

The racist far right will never be in power in France, NEVER.

0x401615c0b1c3019C300F652ef7FAb8ce9c0b7036-1768568280654 Jul 11

I wouldn't be so confident about it. The french are really being pushed to the edge by all the pro-immigration policies.

MarcTheWay Jul 11

Voting for Mmmmbappee

LiquidatedDegen Jul 10

What happened to the Villepin guy?

US-Phenom Jul 9

M6-RTL poll 09/08/2026, first round: MARINE LE PEN 34%, Edouard PHILIPPE 20%, MELENCHON 16%, GLUCKSMANN 11%, Bruno RETALLEAU 8%, Eric ZEMMOUR 4%, Marine TONDELIER 3%.

US-Phenom Jul 8

LE FIGARO poll 08/07/2026, second round: MARINE LE PEN 54% VS Edouard PHILIPPE 46%. MARINE LE PEN 55% VS GABRIEL ATTAL. MARINE LE PEN 70% VS MELENCHON 30%

mcpetrus Jul 8

Well imo not very convincing. Another poll shows 49–51, but the election campaign hasn't even started yet, and 34% say they would cast an invalid vote in a runoff between Philippe and Le Pen. That is bound to change drastically.

CroqueMadame Jul 9

Oui enfin l'américain tu devrais t'abstenir pour ce coup, il s'agit d'une estimation où comme a son habitude n'est pas représentatif du vote réel. Il suffit de regarder le sondage avec les scores réels des législatifs anticipée de 2024.

mcpetrus Jul 8

It will be harder for edouard Philippe to make it to the runoff than to actually win it. I have no doubt that he would defeat Le Pen in a runoff. He likely would have lost against Bardella.. since Bardella would have attracted votes from some center-right voters as well.. Le Pen on the other hand enters the race facing significantly more reservations.

hlhlhlhl.hlhl Jul 8

hhhh

CroqueMadame Jul 8

Faites pas comme les américains, garder vos actions sur Jordan Bardella, après la cassation jamais elle fera campagne en bracelet électronique et Jordan Bardella prendra sa place. Jordan Bardella vas monté en flèche tandis que Le Pen vas chuter.

Fluo Jul 8

La peine de Détention à Domicile sous Surveillance Électronique (DDSE - le bracelet) restreint la liberté d'aller et venir, mais ne supprime ni le droit de vote ni le droit d'être élu. Légalement, Marine Le Pen pourrait tout à fait recueillir ses 500 parrainages et voir sa candidature validée par le Conseil constitutionnel tout en portant ce dispositif.

CroqueMadame Jul 8

Je ne dis pas le contraire, elle a aura sans aucun doute les 500 parrainages avec sa candidature validée. Le problème c'est que (elle le sait très bien) elle ne remportera jamais la présidentielle 2027 (2nd Tour quasi sur cependant). Continuer sa candidature avec un bracelet c'est se tirer une balle dans le pied de son propre parti entre polémique et que certain paraissant ne votre pas pour un candidat sous bracelet électronique, elle enverra Jordan Bardella a sa place où il a su conquis les électeurs du RN, et ayant pas de grosse polémique ni de soucis avec la justice. D'où aussi pourquoi Edouard Phillipe a monté en flèche car sa laisse un boulevard devant lui si Marine est la candidate officielle du RN.

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

Who cares Bardella will never be president except in your wet disgusting fascists dreams only. Cope.

CroqueMadame Jul 11

Tu me racontes quoi toi. Commence a mettre des paris et reviens me parler après.

LiquidatedDegen Jul 8

We all found out nicoco is a fraud today, ahahahahha

0x401615c0b1c3019C300F652ef7FAb8ce9c0b7036-1768568280654 Jul 8

It was hard to predict what happened. Le Pen was sentenced to ineligibility in her first trial, and her appeal could easily have gone the same way. In France, most judges have close ties to the far-left. In fact, this might even be a political calculation by the judiciary. They realized that Bardella was even more popular than Le Pen, and they might believe that the RN has less chance of winning with Marine as its candidate. Just speculation here, but it wouldn't surprise me.

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

Just speculation saying the paranoiac buffoon. Close ties with the far left 🤣😂, since when? You're mentally ill defo.

nicoco89 Jul 11

Ptdrrr tki ? 🤣🤣🤣🤣

US-Phenom Jul 8

It’s all over for Bardella – at best, he’ll be Prime Minister, not President

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

Prime Minister of his own ass yes, nothing else.

Chayzon Jul 7

WTF

US-Phenom Jul 7

Jordan Bardella will not be standing as a candidate in the presidential election – it’s official

0xAF1F63F6776cCDfF2362874d0F76C8b527329dc5-1776029962481 Jul 8

Le Pen will appeal again, and when this one is rejected she will be barred from running, and then Bardella will be running instead.

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

Whatever, in both cases they are dead. French hate the thieves.

Pisko Jul 7

her party deserve to die with this election if they dont get another candidate

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

Rightfully, this sh1tty party is a real disgrace and people supporting this sh1t are the trash of humanity.

mcpetrus Jul 7

How could such a bad decision be made.. Bardella had significantly better poll numbers. A gift to the moderates and the Left.

0xdC26348AD3cf81fDC42c29248E6300db5E0bF360-1761784442845 Jul 7

poll numbers were very close he did do better in a potential wnd round against philippe as he attracted more moderates so that could hurt them as she now will campaign with a brace

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

Who cares? Rigged polls and we all know by who, French don't want the fascists thieves in power, they are not as stupid as the Americans.

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

He attracted the void yes.

Pisko Jul 7

this is absurd, no way that she just did this to her party

LShibalba Jul 11

I'd say the absurd is doing everything in their power to stop her from running...

0x62f69038415421C1cf8Ef2082200D4BaAFD9344B-1778292535389 Jul 11

In which world? Are you on drug or what? Lepen fans are fking brainless that's crazy. The trash of french society defo.