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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Politics Vol $5,585,882 111 traders

December 3136%
June 300%
May 310%
October 3123%
$5,585,882 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

5
Chance
May 31 Resolved
0%
June 30 Resolved
0%
October 31
23% ▲ 5
December 31
36%
August 31
9% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xdadb…365f BUY Yes $100.00 57m ago
  • 0x758c…074a BUY Yes $56.72 4h ago
  • 0x15b2…6f4a BUY No $1300.00 4h ago
  • 0x2884…d0c3 BUY No $7.90 5h ago
  • 0x2884…d0c3 BUY No $0.01 5h ago
  • 0x07a6…2e31 BUY No $4.67 6h ago
  • 0xd286…2322 BUY Yes $163.00 6h ago
  • 0x46f4…5352 SELL No $11.43 7h ago
  • 0xde9c…b1d6 BUY No $5.00 7h ago
  • 0xe098…5521 SELL No $1.03 8h ago
  • 0x6406…bc04 SELL No $0.22 8h ago
  • 0xe098…5521 BUY No $1.06 8h ago
  • 0x80ac…bc4f BUY No $19.94 8h ago
  • 0xc4c1…7324 BUY No $1261.63 8h ago
  • 0xf79e…e434 SELL No $39.00 10h ago
  • 0xf7e9…1c06 BUY Yes $16.92 10h ago
  • 0x4fbc…a244 BUY No $1.00 11h ago
  • 0x7655…358c BUY Yes $132.00 11h ago
  • 0x034a…d14b BUY Yes $5.00 14h ago
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $46.92 15h ago
  • 0x2721…cf8a SELL Yes $1.05 15h ago
  • 0x07a6…2e31 BUY No $7.90 16h ago
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $100.32 16h ago
  • 0xb5e8…a5f9 BUY Yes $10.00 16h ago
  • 0x97d3…3f3c BUY Yes $108.00 16h ago
  • 0x07a6…2e31 BUY No $39.50 16h ago
  • 0x279c…2b82 SELL Yes $21.71 16h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $3.90 16h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $78.00 16h ago
  • 0x66be…1148 BUY No $51.20 16h ago
  • 0x66be…1148 BUY Yes $28.80 16h ago
  • 0x32b4…7f09 SELL No $3347.06 16h ago
  • 0xb2c4…43e8 BUY Yes $65.00 17h ago
  • 0xb2c4…43e8 BUY Yes $49.00 17h ago
  • 0xb2c4…43e8 BUY Yes $100.00 17h ago
  • 0xb2c4…43e8 BUY Yes $200.00 17h ago
  • 0x3067…f1bb BUY No $100.00 17h ago
  • 0x9d77…cf31 BUY Yes $1.00 19h ago
  • 0xc8de…a93c BUY No $13.00 20h ago
  • 0xc4c1…7324 SELL No $2389.57 20h ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

abdoohl Jun 30

Local reports say Ukrainian draft officers detained a single father in Kryvyi Rih, leaving his 5-year-old daughter alone. She reportedly spent the night with her kindergarten director.

Dinosaurus07 Jul 6

It's been like that there for a long time. It's better not to know

pink.impala Jun 27

Almost two-thirds of Ukrainians (specifically 65%) living in the Netherlands have mental health issues

abdoohl Jun 17

WATCH: Three police officers mobilized a man on John McCain Street in Kiev's Pechersky District. Senator McCain actively supported the Euromaidan protests and advocated for the supply of lethal weapons to Ukraine. After the politician's death, a street in the Ukrainian capital was named after him.

abdoohl Jun 17

Fuck Ukraine man, what a worthless shitty country 🤡 🤡 🤡

Warsong Jul 16

Said abdul ☪️🐷

Amnyam228 Jun 17

Maybe stop whining and destabilizing the market already? I have info from someone in the know that peace is expected here in Europe soon. After Daniil Trumpovich deals with Iran, oil will be brought down and sold to Europe, and Russia won’t be able to do anything. Right now the main thing is not to whine. What’s required of us is to sit quietly. After everything is done, things will be good for us. Everyone will be provided for, like Saudi citizens — everyone will be rolling in butter. The main thing now is to sit quietly and not fuss. No selling, no NOs. Just wait it out and everything will be fine; everything is under control there.

abdoohl Jun 17

prepare to lose your money!

OdinRaven Jun 17

more dates pls :D

abdoohl Jun 16

Ukraine such a failure, what a shame they take my money and send to Ukraine, home of corruption, home of thieves

abdoohl Jun 16

At one of the TCCs in the Odessa region, people were beaten, intimidated, illegally detained, and subjected to sexual assault, the State Bureau of Investigation reports.

pink.impala Jun 8

Ukrainian scumbags always starting some shit, never take responsibility, always blaming the Russians SMH

IamBatman- Jun 10

congrats on recovering losses, time for some steak after many months of egg noodles with ketchup

pink.impala Jun 10

Thanks man 😊

pink.impala Jun 10

did it on the easy mid east markets, now im gonna use the money to get revenge on russia captures!

IamBatman- Jun 10

haha, it has been a hard time to be a Z guy recently. Do you have discord or tg? mind if we connect there?

0x5aEC50b0A0904494e1183948f39bE57863401236-1773471522573 Jun 6

Intensive firefights have begun in the Kramatorsk area and in the supply lines to Sumy. The summer offensive is progressing rapidly and will continue until the autumn thaw. Perhaps in the coming weeks, we will see requests from Kyiv for a ceasefire to allow resupply to the trapped units. But I doubt the summer offensive has the right to pause.

vanille97 Jun 6

Want to make money on this deal? Vote No untill 2030

BoberKurwaYaPerdole Jun 6

Xmace truce and you lose

0x5aEC50b0A0904494e1183948f39bE57863401236-1773471522573 Jun 5

Putin rejected Zelensky's letter, which he wrote while in an altered state. Afterward, Trump said, "Let them sort out the war themselves." I think it's all clear.

You009 Jun 5

Boring market

Quilty Jun 5

A scandal erupted at the Uzhhorod TCC. An inspection raid revealed the conditions in which mobilized citizens were being held. Many were handcuffed to the walls.

pink.impala Jun 4

Ukraine is the biggest scam ever, all they want is our money, never give anything in return, just whining and bitching. So ENTITLED.

0xA1D6B7c8f2271D153A60d48F5656f6Cc49d4982D-1777574009113 Jun 5

you need to take your meds

Quilty Jun 5

🚨 UKRONAZI DETECTED!!!

Alive-beam Jun 5

Your mom is scum

pink.impala Jun 4

We give and give and give, so that Ukrainian oligarchs can buy yachts. SMH

viktanval Jun 2

Polymarket is a scam, don't give them your money, otherwise they'll steal it

pink.impala Jun 2

😭 😭 😭 sour loser!

pink.impala Jun 2

Hopefully some new type of super weapon gives the green light, its over for Ukraine!

viktanval Jun 2

Да, ещё 3-4 дня, и всю Украину завоюете, мы знаем

pink.impala Jun 2

English MF!

Crabinn Jun 2

Which is?

pink.impala Jun 2

A mysterious green light can be seen in Zaporizhzhia City following Russian missile strikes.

pink.impala Jun 2

Ukraine such a burden to the rest of the world, such freeloaders, so entitled SMH

PavloUkraintsev May 27

People, we need to send a letter to Todd Blanche in LinkedIn. He is the Acting Attorney General of the United States in department of justice. This SCAMMarket should be closed.

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 May 31

I wrote to Ban Ki-moon!

Roboocop May 26

Gluckyklucky May 26

Pro-russian dummies with low iq are extremely active. Return better to your vodka with seledka

0x34bF0F3117fF04A368082cCa2C834309D69079Af-1768830209927 May 28

Pro-ukraine dummies Are low IQ son

pink.impala Jun 2

return to your carrots silly rabbit! 🥕

12beduins May 26

WATCH: Very sad final footage from a girl inside the Lugansk dorm while the AFU was striking her building Dasha desperately calls for help as nonstop explosions and drone buzz fills the air Dasha was not among the survivors

Arlette May 25

Who can trust this market after Polymarket rugged everyone with the May 9 "ceasefire." It resolved YES. And the next day the markets opened again for when will there be a ceasefire? If there was a ceasefire why are these markets still open. Kinda shamless.

12beduins May 25

WATCH: These are 21 innocent souls taken away following Ukrainian drone strikes on a college in Luhansk

abdoohl May 25

The Ukrainians should be ashamed of themselves. SMH.

Gluckyklucky May 24

Its wrong information. According to Konashenkov, 21000 children were killed, including 42000 girls. Also well known dummy Repulsive have got a rocket in his ass, so he become even more retarted than before

12beduins May 26

UKRONAZI DETECTED 🚨

Gluckyklucky May 26

Dummy, you russian propaganda doesnt change nothing. Go better make love with your boyfriend abdool

0x5aEC50b0A0904494e1183948f39bE57863401236-1773471522573 May 24

Ukraine killed 21 children in Starobilsk, including 18 girls, in one fell swoop the day before yesterday. Does anyone seriously expect a ceasefire after such atrocities? Things are only heading towards further escalation.

IamBatman- May 24

bad reasoning but good bet

yummypysy May 27

Hahaha, lol, you are openly stating that students at Alabuga University are assembling drones. And then you whine that the students were killed? Parassin idiots

yummypysy May 27

and if you don’t understand, the ceasefire will count for a day. it doesn't mean forever

12beduins May 23

Like dangling carrot in front of donkey 🥕 🫏

12beduins May 23

The Ukros just dont get it. We dont want them in EU we just want them to fight our proxy war 🫏

12beduins May 23

Zelensky wrote a letter to EU leaders: "It would be unfair if Ukraine were present in the European Union but remained voiceless. We are defending Europe - fully, not partially, and not with half measures. Ukraine deserves a fair approach and equal rights in Europe."

sesamff May 23

The war is tipping and Russia will need to negotiate eventually. Don’t know when this war will end, but temporary ceasefire agreements later this year are totally realistic.

Donkolo May 22

Scam Market

Donkolo May 22

SCAM

abdoohl May 20

When you deal with a country of sexual degenerats that gets off from getting brutalized i guess its not much you can do, i dont know why it bothers me so much

abdoohl May 20

Its almost like Ukrainian males ENJOY being grabbed in the street and pushed into vans, like they for some reason like to be used as cattle. Perhaps it turns them on?