Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Outcomes
13Recent trades
40- 0xe8d6…e410 SELL Yes $45.00 1h ago
- 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $20.00 2h ago
- 0x57aa…04c5 BUY No $43.50 4h ago
- 0x57aa…04c5 BUY No $31.50 4h ago
- 0xfa7e…f37e SELL Yes $33.01 4h ago
- 0xb22a…1479 SELL No $30.50 4h ago
- 0x0657…2b79 SELL No $0.78 5h ago
- 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $20.00 5h ago
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $61.00 5h ago
- 0x0739…aba8 SELL No $317.10 5h ago
- 0xd787…7c12 BUY No $1.00 6h ago
- 0xd787…7c12 BUY No $1.00 6h ago
- 0xd787…7c12 BUY No $1.00 6h ago
- 0x1e4b…0a04 BUY No $4.40 8h ago
- 0xff7c…b233 BUY No $16.00 9h ago
- 0x8a21…fec3 SELL Yes $10.73 16h ago
- 0x8a21…fec3 BUY Yes $7.00 16h ago
- 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $13.02 16h ago
- 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $7.00 16h ago
- 0x3d28…4bdc SELL Yes $2.08 16h ago
- 0xbec7…5977 BUY Yes $320.41 17h ago
- 0xe8d6…e410 SELL Yes $44.97 20h ago
- 0xf30c…ddfb BUY Yes $172.50 20h ago
- 0xe8d6…e410 SELL Yes $30.19 21h ago
- 0x2b04…6477 SELL Yes $2.40 21h ago
- 0xfa2e…b387 SELL Yes $46.94 22h ago
- 0x82cd…d7d8 SELL No $11.40 23h ago
- 0x57aa…04c5 BUY No $16.50 23h ago
- 0x8f87…2b4d BUY Yes $300.00 23h ago
- 0xa3a9…6c89 BUY No $16.52 23h ago
- 0xa3a9…6c89 BUY No $87.00 23h ago
- 0xcd96…11a3 BUY Yes $1.00 23h ago
- 0x9bae…5d34 BUY Yes $42.00 23h ago
- 0x500a…c8e4 BUY No $50.00 Jul 22
- 0x2a21…d26a BUY Yes $7.00 Jul 22
- 0xeeca…0de6 BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 22
- 0xa5b8…7abc SELL Yes $3.57 Jul 22
- 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $5.64 Jul 22
- 0x7623…b80e SELL Yes $2.20 Jul 22
- 0xfa62…fa78 BUY Yes $35.00 Jul 22
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
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