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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Politics Vol $38,950,022 779 traders

Yes4%
No96%
$38,950,022 Vol. Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 6m ago
  • 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 7m ago
  • 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 8m ago
  • 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 8m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 10m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 11m ago
  • 0x69df…d8a6 BUY No $40.00 11m ago
  • 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 14m ago
  • 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 14m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 19m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 19m ago
  • 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 23m ago
  • 0x3304…906a BUY No $4.99 23m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 28m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 28m ago
  • 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 31m ago
  • 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 31m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 35m ago
  • 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 35m ago
  • 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 36m ago
  • 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 36m ago
  • 0xe893…799a SELL No $55.23 43m ago
  • 0xd3cf…3df8 SELL Yes $3.80 51m ago
  • 0xd3cf…3df8 BUY Yes $3.90 58m ago
  • 0x3304…906a SELL No $4.98 59m ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Comments

0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

Latest surveys not reflected here

0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

Latest surveys not reflected here.