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How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
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<400k
$731 Vol.
5%
13%
400k to 425k
$570 Vol.
12%
5%
425k to 450k
$267 Vol.
6%
7%
450k to 475k
$380 Vol.
9%
475k to 500k
$690 Vol.
24%
7%
500k to 525k
$318 Vol.
19%
7%
525k to 550k
$385 Vol.
13%
7%
550k to 575k
$207 Vol.
<1%
5%
575k+
$493 Vol.
8%
3%
Rules
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the case that the Resolution Source publ... This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
Market Opened: Oct 20, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://ir.tesla.com/press- No recent trades