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Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
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Meta
$2,406 Vol.
23%
6%
Moonshot
$640 Vol.
15%
2%
Anthropic
$4,457 Vol.
13%
7%
Google
$7,173 Vol.
12%
3%
Alibaba
$2,526 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$914 Vol.
7%
3%
OpenAI
$656 Vol.
5%
Z.ai
$1,071 Vol.
5%
Bytedance
$632 Vol.
2%
1%
SpaceXAI
$380 Vol.
1%
1%
Thinky
$364 Vol.
<1%
1%
Xiaomi
$630 Vol.
<1%
1%
Tencent
$408 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$188 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$172 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$205 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$232 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$320 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$269 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$234 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$299 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time wi... This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Oct 1, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
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