Sign Up

Middle East predictions & odds

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 22

95%

Yes95%No5%

October 24

87%

Yes87%No14%

$22M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

48%

Yes48%No52%

Benjamin Netanyahu

31%

Yes31%No70%

$51M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%

chance

Yes

No

$75M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

69%

chance

Yes

No

$1M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$28M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

86%

Yes86%No14%

No Head of State

4%

Yes4%No96%

$40M Vol.