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0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

Iran Vol $402,053 50 traders

July 318%
July 140%
July 70%
June 300%
$402,053 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

4
Chance
June 30 Resolved
0%
July 7 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 14 Resolved
0% ▼ 2
July 31
8% ▲ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0x9014…5b73 BUY Yes $20.00 58m ago
  • 0x9014…5b73 BUY Yes $40.00 1h ago
  • 0x21f7…e19f BUY Yes $64.78 2h ago
  • 0x01bb…2c9c BUY No $1.13 2h ago
  • 0x10e8…19fc BUY No $10.40 3h ago
  • 0x8a4d…99bd BUY No $5.01 4h ago
  • 0x4ae5…6079 SELL Yes $10.21 5h ago
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $12.32 5h ago
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $12.51 5h ago
  • 0x460a…a5b0 SELL Yes $186.86 5h ago
  • 0xaaeb…a0e8 BUY Yes $1.00 5h ago
  • 0xf6b5…b7ac BUY Yes $2.00 5h ago
  • 0xfb12…d1b3 BUY Yes $23.00 6h ago
  • 0x004a…f9e5 SELL Yes $0.43 6h ago
  • 0xfd17…3116 BUY No $5.00 7h ago
  • 0x7399…46d6 SELL No $143.39 8h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $323.40 9h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $417.15 9h ago
  • 0x2c55…dbb9 BUY No $557.13 10h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $371.60 12h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $620.06 12h ago
  • 0x6016…1ab5 SELL Yes $4.54 13h ago
  • 0x2549…74f7 SELL No $1813.69 14h ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $392.04 15h ago
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY No $400.00 15h ago
  • 0x5de7…540c BUY No $62.10 Jul 21
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $354.16 Jul 21
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY No $2000.00 Jul 21
  • 0xd2cb…43ee BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $104.58 Jul 21
  • 0xfb64…c2ab SELL Yes $0.16 Jul 21
  • 0xe172…e8e0 SELL No $118.81 Jul 21
  • 0x7ed1…3363 BUY No $100.00 Jul 21
  • 0x3eae…e2ed BUY No $1255.04 Jul 21
  • 0xb465…f139 SELL No $1.53 Jul 20
  • 0xb465…f139 BUY No $1.59 Jul 20
  • 0x58f1…7032 SELL No $24.12 Jul 20
  • 0xfb64…c2ab BUY Yes $1.94 Jul 20
  • 0x9bb3…699c SELL No $112.42 Jul 20
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $29.00 Jul 20

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No." Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication. If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF PortWatch differs from alternative sources. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying except in the case of data integrity issues. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Comments

Onswaggie Jul 13

At 5 p.m. ET today, U.S. Central Command forces began launching more strikes against Iran to continue degrading their ability to attack civilian mariners and commercial ships freely transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The Commander in Chief has directed the strikes to hold Iranian forces accountable.

yungsoleimani Jul 8

Sorry i dont make the rules i just collect the money

BrightStars Jul 8

you misunderstand as always

yungsoleimani Jul 8

you just a little kid man

yungsoleimani Jul 8

Yopp