PolyBet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape

$2,120 YES
Next Prime Minister of Canada 0x7074…8b34
$869 NO
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00PM-1:15… 0x708e…c391
$827 YES
BNB Up or Down - September 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET 0x70a7…fbed
$3,440 NO
Will there be a US recession this year? 0x70c1…344a
$243 YES
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) 0x70da…6ca7
$115 YES
Fed Decision in July? 0x70f3…a503
$33 NO
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) 0x6de0…d1cb
$939 NO
NBA: LeBron James Next Team 0x6dfa…0a27
$1,544 YES
NBA: LeBron James Next Team 0x6e13…4284
$969 NO
Solana Up or Down - September 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM… 0x6e2c…7ae1
$35 NO
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) 0x6e46…b33d
$925 YES
Will there be a US recession this year? 0x6e5f…eb9a
$185 NO
Trump approval above 50%? 0x6e79…23f7
$360 NO
Will there be a US recession this year? 0x6e92…5c53

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $363.31M

24h volume $45.23M

All markets

Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC

Everton FC 0% Yes No

Draw (Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC) 100% Yes No

1 more

$9.7MVol. 6 sept Sports

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 100% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 0% Yes No

36 more

$7.9MVol. 6 sept Esports

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 0% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 100% Yes No

71 more

$6.3MVol. 6 sept Esports

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 100% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 100% Yes No

65 more

$3.1MVol. 7 sept Esports

Fed Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 0% Yes No

25 bps decrease 0% Yes No

3 more

$99.9MVol. 16 sept fomc

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 36% Yes No

Jordan Bardella 2% Yes No

126 more

$128.0MVol. 30 apr French Election

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds 54% Yes No

NRFI 75% Yes No

22 more

$897.6KVol. 13 sept Sports

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Pierre Gasly 0% Yes No

Fernando Alonso 0% Yes No

26 more

$1.1MVol. 13 sept Formula 1

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians 43% Yes No

NRFI 73% Yes No

15 more

$770.5KVol. 13 sept Sports

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 0% Yes No

Carlos Alcaraz 47% Yes No

47 more

$21.1MVol. 13 sept US Open

UNLV vs. Hawai'i

UNLV vs. Hawai'i 100% Yes No

Spread: UNLV (-3.5) 100% Yes No

156 more

$669.0KVol. 6 sept Sports

US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz 20% Yes No

Completed Match 50% Yes No

24 more

$646.1KVol. 13 sept Tennis

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 14% Yes No

Aston Villa 1% Yes No

40 more

$24.5MVol. 31 may UCL

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 52% Yes No

NRFI 24% Yes No

16 more

$594.3KVol. 13 sept Sports

Boise State vs. Oregon

Boise State vs. Oregon 0% Yes No

Spread: Oregon (-24.5) 0% Yes No

138 more

$616.8KVol. 5 sept Sports

Clemson vs. LSU

Clemson vs. LSU 0% Yes No

Spread: LSU (-9.5) 100% Yes No

163 more

$604.6KVol. 6 sept Sports

Tulane vs. Duke

Tulane vs. Duke 0% Yes No

Spread: Duke (-9.5) 100% Yes No

142 more

$558.4KVol. 5 sept Sports

Baylor vs. Auburn

Baylor vs. Auburn 0% Yes No

Spread: Auburn (-7.5) 0% Yes No

149 more

$645.9KVol. 5 sept Sports

UCLA vs. California

UCLA vs. California 100% Yes No

Spread: UCLA (-1.5) 100% Yes No

132 more

$514.3KVol. 6 sept Sports

UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)

Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse 0% Yes No

Fight to Go the Distance? 0% Yes No

9 more

$826.2KVol. 6 sept Sports