← Markets

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Earthquakes Vol $727,986 50 traders

Yes2%
No98%
$727,986 Vol. Earthquakes
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2%

Recent trades

25
  • 0xdbea…df74 SELL No $1.05 9h ago
  • 0xe154…0b7f SELL Yes $15.27 23h ago
  • 0x3283…6d1e SELL No $1.86 Jul 21
  • 0x7f1d…45dc SELL No $8.79 Jul 21
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $196.00 Jul 21
  • 0x37c4…2183 SELL No $2.05 Jul 18
  • 0x8e4e…f6d9 SELL No $2928.73 Jul 18
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $140.88 Jul 16
  • 0xa1c9…4a3e SELL No $110.85 Jul 15
  • 0xc641…6954 BUY Yes $12.26 Jul 15
  • 0xcdae…4c76 BUY No $1.04 Jul 14
  • 0xb6d6…951b BUY No $1.03 Jul 14
  • 0x3797…8be6 SELL No $0.40 Jul 14
  • 0xc66f…abcc BUY Yes $27.00 Jul 14
  • 0xc66f…abcc BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 14
  • 0x4aaa…6228 SELL Yes $0.11 Jul 13
  • 0xeac2…ec74 SELL Yes $0.19 Jul 13
  • 0x8e6c…6ed0 SELL No $6.11 Jul 12
  • 0x1f17…a918 BUY No $5.01 Jul 12
  • 0xdec8…4eec SELL No $1.00 Jul 11
  • 0x9539…da53 SELL No $1.00 Jul 11
  • 0x5131…ab2f SELL No $1.00 Jul 11
  • 0xdcca…5d53 SELL No $1.00 Jul 11
  • 0x14e9…80c0 SELL No $1.00 Jul 11
  • 0xdec8…4eec BUY No $1.00 Jul 11

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Comments

Master-bettor May 6

AAA bond

KELBI Jul 13

lol more like not even IG bind so this yield is stupid

0xd173A7026D2ac2714D090d96a7CC4fC23302e51B-1768896762533 Feb 19

Can somebody look up that bet that says Tintin is actually Jesus Christ before 2027? I think it was at about 14%.

Starlux-35K Feb 18

This is the real Jesus returns market.

goBig-or-goHome Feb 11

i mean if it happens i will have bigger problems to worry about

acc-5 Jan 31

If there is a magnitude 10.0 earthquake, the earth will be so wrecked that you won’t even be able to claim your gains

Colorguesser Jan 6

Magnitude 10 are technically not possible. They would yield breakup of the planet. So it this bet just to store money?

wsmitpwtind Jan 5

will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist is better

Snow-White Jan 2

DUMFUQ GOOPfan risking a fortune to earn a a thousand dollars, what a STUPID INNUMERATE this dumbass GOOPfan is! No wonder he I DOWN TENS of THOUSANDS on THIS WEEK ALREADY! HA HA HA, GOOPfan is the RETARD of SEVERSK!

mmmbop Dec 21

What does Zilivanili know??

i2dt Dec 18

Zilivanili just bought so many no shares I actually had to double check an earth ending quake didn’t just occur

ibwqs Dec 18

same I was actually worried for a second lol

i2dt Dec 18

*so many yes shares

0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd Dec 11

Not even a 0.1% chance... caveat is you have to wait almost 400 days to get your money

Cronim Dec 9

But yeah, probably not. Scientists say the physics just don't allow a tectonic quake that big. We're maxed out around a high 9. Maybe if an asteroid hits, but that's a whole other disaster movie.

heresjimmy Dec 9

Lizzo is going on tour in March 2026

dumbestdollars Dec 10

lol

tomatosauce2 Dec 9

strongest ever earthquake was 9.5 in 1960

i2dt Dec 9

10.0 is basically not possible with the faults that exist, maybe if a giant meteor hit us.

ibwqs Dec 9

I'm scared JLLEE91 is gonna cause an earthquake himself