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AI data center in space by...?

Tech Vol $28,979 50 traders

December 31, 20265%
December 31, 202725%
$28,979 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

2
Chance
December 31, 2026
5%
December 31, 2027
25%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x9259…c2d3 SELL No $25.90 2h ago
  • 0xf9a7…e762 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 22
  • 0x9476…d376 BUY No $2.00 Jul 21
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $3.38 Jul 21
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $3.52 Jul 21
  • 0x8a08…0eec SELL Yes $53.52 Jul 21
  • 0x9fc9…cde1 BUY No $4.88 Jul 21
  • 0x9bb3…699c BUY No $63.66 Jul 20
  • 0x3773…f0dd BUY No $192.00 Jul 20
  • 0xde65…eea5 BUY No $150.00 Jul 19
  • 0x9fc9…cde1 BUY No $4.80 Jul 18
  • 0xd388…0190 SELL No $493.33 Jul 18
  • 0xd388…0190 BUY No $500.00 Jul 18
  • 0x21d0…ce91 BUY No $385.92 Jul 18
  • 0x3773…f0dd BUY No $192.00 Jul 18
  • 0x7d0b…87e2 BUY No $1.10 Jul 18
  • 0x7d0b…87e2 BUY Yes $1.10 Jul 17
  • 0x413d…0db8 BUY No $192.00 Jul 17
  • 0x9259…c2d3 BUY No $11.25 Jul 16
  • 0xfe04…eee0 BUY No $1.00 Jul 16
  • 0xfe04…eee0 BUY No $1.00 Jul 16
  • 0x00ae…40b0 SELL No $53.17 Jul 16
  • 0x9fc9…cde1 BUY Yes $1.30 Jul 15
  • 0x456d…28b1 SELL No $22.19 Jul 15
  • 0xc71b…e265 SELL Yes $8.42 Jul 15
  • 0x3daa…65bf BUY No $1.00 Jul 14
  • 0x972f…ab22 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 14
  • 0x03a2…dc06 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 12
  • 0x03a2…dc06 SELL No $19.47 Jul 12
  • 0xcc79…1c2a BUY No $960.00 Jul 10
  • 0xc7fb…8eb0 BUY No $37.50 Jul 10
  • 0xa609…eebd BUY Yes $15.00 Jul 9
  • 0x03a2…dc06 BUY No $20.00 Jul 8
  • 0x0cc7…bc74 SELL Yes $2.88 Jul 8
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $15.00 Jul 7
  • 0xa512…77dd SELL Yes $5.71 Jul 6
  • 0xc7fb…8eb0 BUY No $90.00 Jul 5
  • 0x7f5f…5985 BUY No $300.00 Jul 5
  • 0xb329…c71b BUY No $2.00 Jul 5
  • 0x66a1…80d9 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 5

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

Miamidau Jun 19

Shotwell said their target is late 2027 for SpaceX's first orbital compute demonstration. "At least 100 GPUs"... SpaceX Ai1 sat is a rack of GB300 which is ~72 GPUs. o only needs 2 AI1 sats in a demonstration mission... If Starship has no setbacks, this is very likely before 2028.

TheKinginYellow May 15

THESE MARKETS NEED TO PAY INTEREST ITS A JOKE WITHOUT THEM

SIMOMEGA Jul 15

the interest is buying for a good price