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Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

Oil Vol $219,333 50 traders

0-2089%
40-602%
20-409%
60-800%
$219,333 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
0-20
89% ▲ 2
20-40
9%
40-60
2%
60-80
<1%
80+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.01 1h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.01 1h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $4.58 1h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $5.01 1h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.59 1h ago
  • 0xbeb1…2630 SELL No $4.45 8h ago
  • 0x828e…c21b BUY Yes $25.78 11h ago
  • 0x6c2a…b7b5 BUY Yes $4.45 13h ago
  • 0x6016…1ab5 SELL Yes $20.37 13h ago
  • 0x8a2e…d3ca SELL Yes $0.01 14h ago
  • 0xa9b7…f43c SELL No $4.50 17h ago
  • 0xba34…a2a1 BUY Yes $46.84 18h ago
  • 0xba34…a2a1 BUY Yes $56.49 18h ago
  • 0xba34…a2a1 BUY Yes $17.89 18h ago
  • 0xb226…4163 BUY No $6.60 18h ago
  • 0xaa73…c2c4 BUY Yes $9.00 19h ago
  • 0x6c2a…b7b5 BUY Yes $4.45 19h ago
  • 0x31c6…2d79 SELL Yes $8.52 19h ago
  • 0x516e…6e0e BUY Yes $1.22 19h ago
  • 0xba34…a2a1 BUY Yes $32.30 21h ago
  • 0x46b3…d3de SELL No $0.05 21h ago
  • 0xba34…a2a1 BUY Yes $14.31 21h ago
  • 0x46b3…d3de SELL No $0.16 21h ago
  • 0x46b3…d3de SELL No $0.16 21h ago
  • 0x46b3…d3de SELL No $0.16 21h ago
  • 0x0712…c38a BUY Yes $14.00 22h ago
  • 0x19a6…1cec SELL No $1.94 Jul 22
  • 0x828e…c21b SELL Yes $0.61 Jul 22
  • 0xecfa…3c6f SELL No $85.61 Jul 22
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL Yes $48.97 Jul 22
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL Yes $29.53 Jul 22
  • 0x4414…c9ff SELL Yes $0.35 Jul 22
  • 0x7761…f504 BUY Yes $4.43 Jul 22
  • 0x7761…f504 BUY Yes $4.43 Jul 22
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $24.75 Jul 22
  • 0xa667…ceb3 SELL Yes $18.99 Jul 22
  • 0x1137…4ed5 BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 22
  • 0x7ed3…27aa SELL Yes $1.05 Jul 22
  • 0xe086…0450 SELL No $5.35 Jul 21
  • 0xb2a3…79e0 SELL No $9.67 Jul 21

This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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