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Bank of Brazil decision in September?

Brazil Vol $26,395 50 traders

No Change45%
25 bps decrease55%
50+ bps decrease1%
25 bps increase1%
$26,395 Vol. Brazil

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
<1% ▼ 3
25 bps increase
<1%
No Change
45% ▲ 3
25 bps decrease
55% ▼ 2
50+ bps decrease
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $49.85 14h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $49.90 14h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $27.61 14h ago
  • 0x6860…8485 BUY Yes $50.00 14h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $6.77 19h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $29.80 19h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $29.94 19h ago
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL No $27.30 19h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $13.44 19h ago
  • 0x2543…f49f SELL No $49.18 19h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $27.00 20h ago
  • 0x1229…df38 BUY Yes $99.63 20h ago
  • 0xb19c…2467 BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0xb19c…2467 BUY Yes $0.21 Jul 21
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $15.80 Jul 21
  • 0xf18c…18c1 SELL No $13.00 Jul 21
  • 0xf18c…18c1 SELL No $5.24 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.18 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $1.70 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $2.89 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $1.70 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $2.89 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $1.70 Jul 21
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $3.30 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $2.89 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.03 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0xcd96…11a3 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $1.70 Jul 21
  • 0xcd96…11a3 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $2.89 Jul 21
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY Yes $0.25 Jul 21
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY Yes $0.10 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY Yes $17.00 Jul 21

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 14-15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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