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Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Canada Vol $2,301 50 traders

25 bps increase10%
No Change82%
50+ bps decrease3%
50+ bps increase8%
$2,301 Vol. Canada

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
8% ▼ 1
25 bps increase
10% ▲ 1
No Change
82%
25 bps decrease
3%
50+ bps decrease
3%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x000a…f60e SELL Yes $0.22 Jul 22
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $17.40 Jul 20
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL Yes $17.53 Jul 19
  • 0x0781…c4ff BUY No $6.72 Jul 19
  • 0x72f3…92d6 SELL No $0.05 Jul 19
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.76 Jul 18
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $4.64 Jul 18
  • 0xf2cf…464b SELL No $4.58 Jul 18
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $1.41 Jul 18
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $1.18 Jul 18
  • 0xe373…4807 SELL No $2.30 Jul 18
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $1.41 Jul 18
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $1.42 Jul 18
  • 0xe373…4807 SELL No $16.29 Jul 18
  • 0x5b63…11a4 BUY Yes $93.67 Jul 18
  • 0xe373…4807 SELL No $5.71 Jul 18
  • 0xe373…4807 SELL No $8.64 Jul 18
  • 0xe373…4807 SELL No $11.20 Jul 18
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $8.64 Jul 18
  • 0x4131…d591 SELL No $69.72 Jul 18
  • 0x5b63…11a4 BUY Yes $140.43 Jul 18
  • 0xa815…9cbe SELL Yes $0.04 Jul 18
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $4.08 Jul 17
  • 0xd8c1…16c0 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 17
  • 0x70fc…88c1 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 16
  • 0x018a…9522 SELL Yes $7.70 Jul 16
  • 0x0c9b…e768 BUY No $3.30 Jul 16
  • 0x0781…c4ff SELL Yes $12.78 Jul 16
  • 0x5653…5d7f BUY Yes $13.80 Jul 16
  • 0x0c9b…e768 BUY No $4.03 Jul 16
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $4.70 Jul 16
  • 0xe347…b438 BUY No $7.74 Jul 16
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $4.85 Jul 16
  • 0xe347…b438 BUY No $8.46 Jul 16
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $4.30 Jul 16
  • 0x1165…f10c SELL No $3.04 Jul 16
  • 0xe347…b438 BUY No $8.55 Jul 16
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $4.75 Jul 16
  • 0xe347…b438 BUY No $8.73 Jul 16
  • 0x0c9b…e768 BUY Yes $10.22 Jul 16

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

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