Sign Up
← Markets

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Vol $793,850 50 traders

4.0–5.0%86%
9.0%+0%
5.0–6.0%11%
1.0–2.0%0%
$793,850 Vol. China

Outcomes

10
Chance
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
2%
4.0–5.0%
86% ▼ 2
5.0–6.0%
11%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xff13…9a51 SELL No $7.39 4h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $68.91 9h ago
  • 0x220e…74ce SELL No $18.88 Jul 21
  • 0x65e3…15ad BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 21
  • 0x7d3e…171b BUY Yes $14.77 Jul 21
  • 0x6c7c…6f90 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0x220e…74ce BUY No $19.00 Jul 20
  • 0x3a2e…64a4 BUY No $9.82 Jul 20
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.46 Jul 20
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $93.28 Jul 20
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $4.52 Jul 20
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $39.28 Jul 20
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.82 Jul 20
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $49.09 Jul 20
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $28.48 Jul 20
  • 0x8daa…9e36 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 18
  • 0xac5d…0234 BUY Yes $14.00 Jul 16
  • 0x3991…a3a3 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 15
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $251.98 Jul 15
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $129.37 Jul 15
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $490.92 Jul 15
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $490.50 Jul 15
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $361.14 Jul 15
  • 0x9b12…c2d5 BUY No $85.90 Jul 15
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $29.43 Jul 15
  • 0x06f2…8798 BUY No $16.38 Jul 15
  • 0x4e72…ffb9 BUY No $30.42 Jul 15
  • 0x8b8b…2512 BUY No $30.42 Jul 15
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $12.98 Jul 15
  • 0x8b87…3e8d SELL Yes $0.15 Jul 15
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.97 Jul 15
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $29.85 Jul 15
  • 0x8b87…3e8d SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 15
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.32 Jul 14
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.85 Jul 14
  • 0x78b3…a139 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 14
  • 0x78b3…a139 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 14
  • 0x78b3…a139 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 14
  • 0x78b3…a139 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 14
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.99 Jul 14

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Comments

0x5AF737090BE4e46f26fAC7F878eB1142a95f5202-1760293966109 Jun 24

五号电池这个外号不是白叫的

Lilian0129 Jul 20

这你也信？有没有点脑子，今年就让你看跌破5%，Q2才增长4.3

JianpingDai May 18

If the published figure is 5%, then is the result calculated as 4%-5% or 5%-6%?😅

0x5AF737090BE4e46f26fAC7F878eB1142a95f5202-1760293966109 Jun 24

5, as per the rule says, it will get to the upper bracket if it lands on the middle

Epic-Funeral Apr 17

crazy buying

Chims Apr 16

什么傻逼在买5以上?

stellarisxc May 24

如果正好5%会结算在5%-6%选项。定的目标是全年4.5-5%，对统计局年末凑数据表示担心

0xE6D96F9b450766fD3eA2C71b5Ac6651500becf70-1770020175380 Jun 21

担心很有道理

Furmaner Feb 26

Goated!!