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Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Canada Vol $7,970 50 traders

Yes3%
No97%
$7,970 Vol. Canada
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
3%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x22b6…56cb SELL No $1.16 Jul 22
  • 0xc71b…e265 SELL Yes $3.23 Jul 15
  • 0x85e7…5e49 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 13
  • 0x45e6…c078 SELL Yes $0.15 Jul 12
  • 0xa609…eebd BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 9
  • 0x3151…c3f1 SELL No $2.38 Jul 7
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 5
  • 0xe0db…f44e BUY No $99.75 Jul 5
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $17.76 Jul 4
  • 0x9a1d…8986 BUY Yes $1.12 Jul 2
  • 0x6a34…47e9 SELL Yes $1.65 Jun 26
  • 0x31c4…622f SELL Yes $0.17 Jun 25
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 SELL No $13.28 Jun 24
  • 0x23c9…b24d BUY Yes $1.00 Jun 24
  • 0x7dbd…97e6 SELL Yes $2.97 Jun 17
  • 0x4ff1…e6e2 BUY Yes $1.40 Jun 15
  • 0x85e7…5e49 BUY Yes $10.00 Jun 13
  • 0x8172…9da2 SELL Yes $1.32 Jun 9
  • 0x497d…944c SELL Yes $1.05 Jun 4
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $47.68 Jun 1
  • 0xec82…6eaa BUY Yes $2.70 Jun 1
  • 0x168f…9e00 SELL Yes $2.37 Jun 1
  • 0x168f…9e00 SELL Yes $3.60 Jun 1
  • 0x1e98…6345 BUY Yes $5.40 Jun 1
  • 0x168f…9e00 SELL Yes $11.56 Jun 1

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) and the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), the CPC becomes the favorite in the "338Canada Seat Projection" (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection) at any published data point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Equal seat projections will not qualify; the CPC must have a strictly higher seat projection than the LPC. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. Revisions indicating a qualifying projection that are released within this market’s timeframe will be considered, but will not invalidate a previously released data point that resolved the market. Revisions published after the specified timeframe will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the two specified parties on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If the source becomes permanently unavailable by the end of the specified timeframe, the market will resolve based on the data points published prior to its unavailability. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC and CPC at each published data point will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.

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