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Fed Decision in July?

Economic Policy Vol $86,276,318 1725 traders

No change76%
25 bps increase23%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps decrease0%
$86,276,318 Vol. Economic Policy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
76% ▼ 9
25 bps increase
23% ▲ 9
50+ bps increase
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x08b1…cbe0 BUY No $9.00 44s ago
  • 0x58b3…653c SELL Yes $2275.99 1m ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 SELL No $1.09 2m ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY No $2.28 2m ago
  • 0x06ae…f059 SELL No $2.11 2m ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $181.12 2m ago
  • 0x9595…f347 BUY Yes $5.00 3m ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY No $2.99 3m ago
  • 0x06ae…f059 SELL No $2.10 3m ago
  • 0x58b3…653c SELL Yes $152.80 3m ago
  • 0x8b56…9586 SELL Yes $0.01 3m ago
  • 0x94bb…2e04 BUY Yes $2.30 4m ago
  • 0x8b56…9586 SELL Yes $19.88 5m ago
  • 0xd52b…5c72 BUY No $1743.92 5m ago
  • 0x9f5f…e91f SELL No $5.29 6m ago
  • 0xad96…d498 BUY No $12.31 6m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $329.01 6m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $75.90 6m ago
  • 0x032e…2a9e BUY Yes $80.06 6m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $328.02 6m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $9.97 7m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $2.30 7m ago
  • 0x4c57…1cef SELL No $7.74 7m ago
  • 0xe033…40a5 BUY Yes $675.00 7m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $9.94 7m ago
  • 0x9e3e…f882 BUY Yes $6.61 7m ago
  • 0x1556…6504 BUY Yes $3.85 8m ago
  • 0x1556…6504 BUY Yes $3.85 8m ago
  • 0x1556…6504 BUY Yes $3.85 8m ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $3.00 8m ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $9.00 8m ago
  • 0xb687…aee5 SELL Yes $18.00 8m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $498.50 8m ago
  • 0xbacd…ab35 BUY Yes $12616.17 8m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $387.50 8m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $497.00 8m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $498.50 8m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $497.00 8m ago
  • 0xda9d…b298 BUY Yes $100.00 8m ago
  • 0xc91b…93bd BUY Yes $85.32 9m ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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