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Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed Vol $545,949 50 traders

Pause–Pause–Pause40%
Other60%
Pause–Pause–Cut2%
Pause–Cut–Pause0%
$545,949 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

9
Chance
Cut–Pause–Pause Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Cut–Pause–Cut Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Pause Resolved
0%
Cut–Cut–Cut Resolved
0% ▼ 1
Pause–Pause–Pause
40% ▼ 6
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
<1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
<1%
Other
60% ▲ 9

Recent trades

40
  • 0xfd4a…75cc BUY Yes $1.00 49m ago
  • 0x8a7b…782f SELL Yes $1.10 49m ago
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $21.45 2h ago
  • 0xfbe6…00f8 BUY Yes $2067.19 2h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $980.00 2h ago
  • 0x84d4…77a9 BUY No $35.27 2h ago
  • 0xfbe6…00f8 BUY Yes $806.50 2h ago
  • 0xfbe6…00f8 BUY Yes $346.97 2h ago
  • 0xb0fc…ce0b BUY Yes $69.88 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.58 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.14 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.55 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.13 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.51 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.13 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.45 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.13 5h ago
  • 0x14a3…c186 SELL Yes $1.64 5h ago
  • 0x14a3…c186 BUY Yes $3.20 5h ago
  • 0x51f0…3651 SELL Yes $10.15 5h ago
  • 0x3423…fe57 BUY Yes $0.90 5h ago
  • 0x51f0…3651 SELL Yes $4.35 5h ago
  • 0x0bd4…582b SELL Yes $1.01 5h ago
  • 0x3d47…9383 BUY No $4.93 5h ago
  • 0x86e5…bf21 SELL No $128.35 5h ago
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $24.47 5h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $4.89 5h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.33 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $88.11 5h ago
  • 0x8ffc…9529 BUY Yes $62.10 5h ago
  • 0xa1ff…55bd BUY No $4390.67 5h ago
  • 0x3423…fe57 BUY Yes $1.48 5h ago
  • 0x3423…fe57 BUY Yes $14.27 5h ago
  • 0x3423…fe57 BUY Yes $12.60 5h ago
  • 0x3423…fe57 BUY Yes $1.42 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.25 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.14 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.14 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.25 5h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.14 5h ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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