GPT-6 released by…?
Outcomes
10Recent trades
40- 0x7e80…631b SELL Yes $6.60 24m ago
- 0x02d5…2fec SELL Yes $12.80 25m ago
- 0x84d4…77a9 BUY Yes $1.80 25m ago
- 0x3c18…32c3 SELL Yes $6.60 25m ago
- 0x73f4…0eee BUY Yes $1.12 25m ago
- 0x10e0…781a BUY No $500.00 25m ago
- 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $8.60 1h ago
- 0x460a…d738 SELL Yes $3.96 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY No $48.07 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY No $48.07 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY No $96.15 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY No $96.15 1h ago
- 0x4dd4…31b1 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
- 0x4dd4…31b1 BUY Yes $3.00 1h ago
- 0x460a…d738 SELL Yes $57.22 2h ago
- 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $18.33 2h ago
- 0xda91…72cf BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
- 0xa05d…5e4b BUY No $5.00 3h ago
- 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $9.87 3h ago
- 0x2f26…0d8f BUY No $3.84 4h ago
- 0x3c5a…022d SELL No $3.46 4h ago
- 0x9eda…6e19 SELL No $0.00 4h ago
- 0xf2f2…d1f0 SELL No $8.60 4h ago
- 0x9eda…6e19 BUY Yes $11.12 4h ago
- 0x389a…397d SELL No $35.61 4h ago
- 0x21a6…7442 SELL No $11.03 4h ago
- 0x778b…808e SELL Yes $14.50 5h ago
- 0x2811…6818 SELL No $30.90 5h ago
- 0x8efe…0092 BUY Yes $1.50 7h ago
- 0x0670…09c7 BUY Yes $1.05 8h ago
- 0x8d55…974a BUY Yes $2.00 10h ago
- 0x8938…82a5 SELL No $11.36 11h ago
- 0x6bef…f650 BUY No $20.00 11h ago
- 0x3b78…5ce6 SELL No $10.01 11h ago
- 0xa86f…022c SELL No $46.60 12h ago
- 0xd13b…f480 SELL No $2.97 16h ago
- 0xd13b…f480 BUY No $3.00 18h ago
- 0xcdcf…2727 BUY Yes $1.05 20h ago
- 0x8938…82a5 BUY No $11.40 Jul 22
- 0x5853…144d BUY Yes $2.99 Jul 22
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
There has always been different teams for pre-training and post-training. GPT 5.x models are just GPT 5 model but with good post training. OpenAI will have to release GPT 6 which will be a completely different model all together and will outperform current Fable. They need it since Opus 5 is going to outperform 5.6 that will be coming this month or by mid August for sure.
What does Opus have to do with OpenAI? You are just making shit up
GPT-6 ain't launching publicly by by Sept. 30. They just rolled out GPT 5.6
different teams for training and post-training stuff. they need to out-bench Fable 5. they might launch it this month only.
Where are you getting this info from? Random Twitter anons? It's totally made up, not credible at all. OpenAI is not going to cannibalize its GPT 5.6 sol launch by launching a new series altogether within a weeks of launch. It's not going to happen! GPT 6 is coming in early 2027
are you fr? Opus 5 is coming this month for by the mid of next. You think it is not gonna be better than 5.6 Sol. They need something that can outperform Fable. GPT 5.6 is the last 5.x model. early 2027 is just too late.
What does Opus have to do with OpenAI? You are just making shit up.
way better than trying to trade yourself
rewrapped from US
Can someone tell me if the June 30th odds are so high because people are expecting spud to be gpt6 and it releasing next week or because people expect it to release shortly after?
People said I was crazy when I said this was a good no buy because the market couldn't have been that dumb but yeah, I guess it was exactly that dumb
GPT6's technology is utterly uninnovative and they dare not release it，comparing it to DeepSeek is a joke.
anything china releases is largely just rewrapped from US companies
Thry are going to release gpt 5.4 then mybe gpt 6
Stacking No shares on a March release because hallucinating a model launch that soon is the real AI dream. 96.4 cents for a month of waiting is a 📉 textbook liquidity park for anyone not expecting a miracle.
After superbowl adds exposure they will definitly release Gpt-6 (even thought it will just be 5.3) marketing
Development already started, it will most likely be launched in 2026
openAI is supposed to release GPT 5.5 sometime late Q1, therefore its pretty unlikely they release gpt 6 before end of 2026.
5.1 Just released!!
Can you please tip me 1 dollar so i can try this platform. Appreciate it
i can tip you 1 dollar after i have had your sister
GPT-6 could be released by OpenAI, but the timeline and advancements remain uncertain as AI development continues at a rapid pace.
Insider new GPT 6 is coming way earlier
Same, i already tested it :P It's coming by February / Beginning of March :)
U guys r rping and should let me join; I'd like to take it in a more sexual direction
dumb
Insider new GPT 6 is coming way earlier
follow @VraserX on X
interesting, because you bought the later date ;)
vraser is garbo info source
OpenAI will release GPT-6 around Christmas. They're losing market share and they absolutely need a big win after GPT-5's flop.
Thank you for the illuminating market analysis
You're welcome.
No GPT-6 this year: Sam Altman to Tyler Cowen
I love ai marketing. Self selects for the most gullible people online.
Markets*
Confirmed by one of Openai's investors
says Brad Gerstner - Partner @altcap (Investors in OpenAI)
Its happening!
[link removed]
Very interesting how this possibility is so undervalued, considering many insider talks: [link removed]
QAnon for AI bros, love to see it
excelent argument, keep funding cheap yes
Lol, buy more bitch
WOW, excelent argument
im thinking you are a kid who just steal her mammas card
while i agree that oai is likely targeting a release by this date, you are failing to consider that they have constant delays for things. gpt5 was pushed back for months. same with the open weight model and the browser.... you have to factor in their delays after you estimate their "target" date
Why would they?
"GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count)" whoever writes these rules is retarded
lol
It got corrected few days back
good to see you here mr. weather
"GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution." looks like a typo. Rules authors should have to post collateral that they lose if a clarifying change is made to the rules. Sloppy, predatory, not what this site wants.
The Only eth