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Grok 5 released by...?

AI Vol $2,482 50 traders

August 314%
August 152%
December 3168%
$2,482 Vol. AI

Outcomes

3
Chance
August 15
2%
August 31
4%
December 31
68% ▲ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0xcceb…f030 SELL Yes $1.60 Jul 21
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $2.40 Jul 20
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $43.22 Jul 19
  • 0x1428…3092 SELL Yes $0.09 Jul 19
  • 0x5a69…81a8 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 18
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $5.10 Jul 18
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $4.40 Jul 18
  • 0xba6c…618b SELL Yes $5.50 Jul 18
  • 0xa28c…e10f BUY No $412.62 Jul 18
  • 0xc326…1db1 SELL No $0.83 Jul 17
  • 0xc326…1db1 SELL No $9.81 Jul 17
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $0.51 Jul 17
  • 0x1c8c…6c11 SELL Yes $0.56 Jul 16
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $2.20 Jul 16
  • 0x29ef…ddda SELL No $60.15 Jul 16
  • 0x29ef…ddda SELL No $18.90 Jul 16
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL No $25.25 Jul 16
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 BUY Yes $38.25 Jul 16
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 16
  • 0xa28c…e10f BUY No $367.54 Jul 16
  • 0xa28c…e10f BUY No $18.00 Jul 16
  • 0x6b02…843c SELL No $4.45 Jul 15
  • 0xa2ef…4535 SELL No $4.35 Jul 15
  • 0x3183…c5eb SELL No $0.75 Jul 13
  • 0x7478…4003 BUY No $10.00 Jul 13
  • 0x7478…4003 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 13
  • 0x3183…c5eb SELL No $55.44 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL No $9.30 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL No $4.00 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL No $4.00 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 BUY No $29.04 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 BUY No $19.92 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 BUY No $77.05 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 SELL No $9.10 Jul 12
  • 0x355e…a038 BUY No $71.00 Jul 12
  • 0xcb48…be6d BUY Yes $16.80 Jul 11
  • 0x6b02…843c BUY No $4.05 Jul 11
  • 0xa2ef…4535 BUY No $3.95 Jul 11
  • 0xcb48…be6d BUY No $15.40 Jul 11
  • 0x29ef…ddda BUY No $12.00 Jul 11

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4. Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qualify. Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will not count unless they are explicitly branded as Grok 5 or otherwise clearly announced by xAI as its next flagship Grok generation. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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