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Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Iran Vol $76,313 50 traders

July 243%
July 319%
July 170%
$76,313 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

3
Chance
July 17 Resolved
0%
July 24
3% ▼ 2
July 31
9% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa6fe…56bc BUY Yes $1.00 30m ago
  • 0x7711…650f SELL Yes $76.01 2h ago
  • 0xea41…1c98 BUY No $50.00 2h ago
  • 0xea41…1c98 BUY No $300.00 2h ago
  • 0xea41…1c98 SELL Yes $4.11 2h ago
  • 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $1.02 3h ago
  • 0xfe72…f18c SELL Yes $18.00 3h ago
  • 0x836f…906e BUY No $15.14 4h ago
  • 0x817a…f4db BUY No $50.00 4h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $69.59 4h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $14.62 4h ago
  • 0x5968…3fc4 SELL Yes $0.04 4h ago
  • 0xd3ae…5b63 BUY Yes $64.32 4h ago
  • 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $0.13 4h ago
  • 0xd3ae…5b63 BUY Yes $87.68 4h ago
  • 0x87d1…3da3 SELL Yes $1.11 4h ago
  • 0xd3ae…5b63 BUY Yes $108.00 4h ago
  • 0x4930…82ab BUY Yes $28.80 4h ago
  • 0xa483…c310 BUY Yes $5.00 4h ago
  • 0xb5cd…6055 SELL Yes $6.07 5h ago
  • 0x87d1…3da3 SELL Yes $0.02 6h ago
  • 0xea7b…9c4d BUY Yes $55.00 6h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $0.04 14h ago
  • 0xbe53…1707 BUY No $71.50 14h ago
  • 0xbe53…1707 BUY No $100.00 14h ago
  • 0xdbdb…b241 SELL No $4.86 14h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL No $50.74 14h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 SELL Yes $5.90 14h ago
  • 0x93f9…8688 SELL Yes $7.03 14h ago
  • 0x93f9…8688 BUY Yes $10.00 15h ago
  • 0x0845…6b6f BUY Yes $29.18 15h ago
  • 0x8278…ec8c BUY No $5.14 16h ago
  • 0x34a8…3f5b BUY Yes $2.50 17h ago
  • 0x7690…c04f SELL Yes $3.94 23h ago
  • 0x78b3…46e1 BUY Yes $1.03 Jul 22
  • 0xee5c…f023 BUY No $1.44 Jul 22
  • 0xc472…13ac BUY Yes $3.38 Jul 22
  • 0x7f1b…0410 BUY No $1.08 Jul 22
  • 0x36c3…3c3f BUY Yes $2.11 Jul 22
  • 0x339f…2b94 BUY No $28.64 Jul 22

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Israel by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT, GMT+3). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Israeli ground territory. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. "Israeli ground territory" refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory, it will not qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IDT) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government and military of Israel, the Houthis, and credible reporting.

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