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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

Science Vol $11,973 50 traders

≤844%
1015%
918%
137%
$11,973 Vol. Science

Outcomes

8
Chance
≤8
45% ▲ 18
9
18% ▲ 1
10
15% ▲ 1
11
9% ▼ 6
12
7% ▼ 3
13
6% ▼ 2
14
3% ▼ 4
>14
8% ▼ 7

Recent trades

40
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY Yes $5.52 27m ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $0.80 39m ago
  • 0x50b1…988c BUY Yes $15.00 53m ago
  • 0x50b1…988c BUY Yes $4.00 1h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $17.16 1h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL No $19.00 1h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY No $20.40 2h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL Yes $26.40 2h ago
  • 0x50b1…988c SELL Yes $2.15 2h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY No $36.98 3h ago
  • 0xd13b…f480 SELL No $2.86 5h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 SELL Yes $3.18 5h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 SELL Yes $1.52 5h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 SELL Yes $10.20 5h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 SELL Yes $0.93 5h ago
  • 0xb637…4c42 SELL Yes $9.58 5h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $45.74 8h ago
  • 0xc911…a7ff BUY No $4.70 9h ago
  • 0x07bb…fcca BUY No $19.86 9h ago
  • 0xf143…4ef2 BUY No $80.62 9h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $14.69 9h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $16.08 9h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $16.43 9h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $12.01 9h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $15.14 9h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $16.23 9h ago
  • 0x6b49…2e46 BUY No $133.74 9h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $50.00 10h ago
  • 0x85f3…9687 BUY Yes $1.90 10h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $1.68 10h ago
  • 0x85f3…9687 SELL Yes $1.74 10h ago
  • 0xbbe5…fe4a SELL Yes $4.34 12h ago
  • 0xd13b…f480 BUY No $3.00 15h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY Yes $5.40 16h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $3.16 17h ago
  • 0x0f99…6734 SELL No $14.00 17h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 SELL No $31.28 17h ago
  • 0xa7d2…f954 BUY Yes $47.43 17h ago
  • 0x8dd7…4c1a BUY Yes $1.55 17h ago
  • 0xb857…9648 BUY No $32.20 17h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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