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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

Science Vol $4,107 50 traders

069%
>50%
41%
32%
$4,107 Vol. Science

Outcomes

7
Chance
0
68% ▲ 11
1
25% ▼ 5
2
8% ▼ 4
3
2% ▼ 2
4
1% ▼ 1
5
2% ▲ 1
>5
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x2ed9…8496 SELL Yes $10.20 2h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL Yes $16.90 2h ago
  • 0x655c…4420 SELL Yes $2.27 4h ago
  • 0xbfd9…1236 BUY Yes $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL No $1.86 8h ago
  • 0x655c…4420 BUY Yes $3.26 8h ago
  • 0x1438…c697 BUY Yes $179.00 8h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $12.61 9h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL Yes $14.00 10h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY No $50.00 10h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $50.00 10h ago
  • 0x56fe…55ff BUY Yes $1.00 11h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $7.32 17h ago
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $3.55 23h ago
  • 0x3b81…1ae7 SELL No $13.30 23h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $3.69 23h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.75 23h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY No $20.00 23h ago
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $20.00 23h ago
  • 0xc6aa…4949 BUY Yes $10.00 23h ago
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $4.30 Jul 22
  • 0xded2…4a85 SELL No $4.30 Jul 22
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY No $20.00 Jul 22
  • 0x69b3…14f8 BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 22
  • 0x783c…fd0d BUY Yes $54.00 Jul 22
  • 0x7dd1…009b BUY Yes $5.94 Jul 22
  • 0x0687…814a BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 21
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $4.61 Jul 21
  • 0xbac7…85b4 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $10.20 Jul 21
  • 0x3b81…1ae7 SELL No $24.50 Jul 21
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $23.80 Jul 21
  • 0xdfdc…444d BUY Yes $9.80 Jul 21
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $5.85 Jul 21
  • 0x8f17…b334 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $14.26 Jul 21
  • 0x1ea2…9f60 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $9.80 Jul 20
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY No $21.45 Jul 20
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL No $3.25 Jul 20

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

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