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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?

Oil Vol $61,407 50 traders

<10099%
100-1241%
150-1740%
175+0%
$61,407 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
<100
>99%
100-124
<1%
125-149
<1%
150-174
<1%
175+
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x95c7…27e8 SELL Yes $57.76 30m ago
  • 0x72a1…c5e4 SELL Yes $1.13 1h ago
  • 0x6086…a5f9 BUY No $63.77 2h ago
  • 0x0275…b936 SELL Yes $0.27 4h ago
  • 0xdb0c…6c18 SELL Yes $162.87 9h ago
  • 0x78fb…b5da BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f SELL Yes $198.12 22h ago
  • 0xf806…1e39 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0xf806…1e39 BUY No $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x4518…1cac SELL Yes $99.14 Jul 22
  • 0x6086…a5f9 BUY No $525.47 Jul 21
  • 0x6086…a5f9 BUY Yes $2683.97 Jul 21
  • 0x6086…a5f9 BUY Yes $498.00 Jul 21
  • 0x6086…a5f9 BUY Yes $996.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5835…fc40 SELL No $35.96 Jul 21
  • 0x6086…a5f9 BUY No $42.00 Jul 21
  • 0x6086…a5f9 BUY No $150.00 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $12.17 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $12.21 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.06 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.07 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.94 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.98 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.07 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.94 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.98 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.07 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.94 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.98 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.07 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.94 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.98 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.07 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.94 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.98 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.94 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.07 Jul 21
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $14.98 Jul 21
  • 0xa108…abd3 BUY Yes $2000.00 Jul 21
  • 0x5a79…6296 BUY No $99.90 Jul 21

This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 13, 2026, through July 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period. If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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