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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?

Oil Vol $52,407 50 traders

<5034%
125+5%
100-1243%
50-7445%
$52,407 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
<50
34% ▲ 9
50-74
45% ▲ 12
75-99
16% ▼ 10
100-124
4% ▼ 6
125+
5% ▼ 3

Recent trades

40
  • 0xe1f1…3a05 SELL No $33.50 16m ago
  • 0xe1f1…3a05 SELL No $5.36 34m ago
  • 0xa33b…17d4 SELL Yes $5.79 39m ago
  • 0x5082…049d BUY Yes $80.60 1h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $3.39 1h ago
  • 0x5082…049d BUY Yes $2.32 1h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $2.40 1h ago
  • 0x191e…ef6b BUY Yes $3.00 1h ago
  • 0x5835…fc40 BUY No $13.03 2h ago
  • 0xef1d…028e BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0xe450…91b9 SELL Yes $8.10 3h ago
  • 0xe1f1…3a05 SELL No $5.84 3h ago
  • 0xe450…91b9 SELL Yes $14.85 3h ago
  • 0xe450…91b9 SELL Yes $23.08 3h ago
  • 0xc90b…1638 BUY No $4.20 3h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.31 3h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $29.26 3h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $8.32 3h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $21.90 3h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $25.23 3h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $24.78 3h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $6.64 3h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $11.14 3h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $28.64 3h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $10.89 3h ago
  • 0xfe72…f18c BUY Yes $48.48 3h ago
  • 0x938c…2a2a BUY No $8.21 4h ago
  • 0x938c…2a2a BUY No $9.20 4h ago
  • 0x7c39…f4f2 BUY No $248.45 4h ago
  • 0xa8b3…9bc4 BUY Yes $17.56 5h ago
  • 0x0c47…e095 SELL Yes $0.75 6h ago
  • 0x5207…686b BUY Yes $35.94 6h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $15.80 6h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $4.70 6h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $9.24 6h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $1.30 6h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $3.42 6h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.05 6h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $0.78 6h ago
  • 0x39aa…583c BUY Yes $0.28 6h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 20, 2026, through July 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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