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How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

Weather Vol $79,437 50 traders

<9500%
1250+90%
1200–12495%
1050–10990%
$79,437 Vol. Weather

Outcomes

8
Chance
<950
<1%
950–999
<1%
1000–1049
<1%
1050–1099
<1%
1100–1149
3%
1150–1199
3%
1200–1249
5%
1250+
90%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xa328…4977 SELL Yes $0.32 41m ago
  • 0x9070…e32c SELL Yes $0.02 43m ago
  • 0xa328…4977 SELL Yes $0.87 44m ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $54.83 47m ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $54.83 47m ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $54.89 47m ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $54.89 47m ago
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $53.24 47m ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 22
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $7.35 Jul 22
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $20.06 Jul 22
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $20.06 Jul 22
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $7.35 Jul 22
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $20.08 Jul 22
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $7.35 Jul 22
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $20.08 Jul 22
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $19.52 Jul 22
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $7.15 Jul 22
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $19.48 Jul 22
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $7.13 Jul 22
  • 0xe457…663e BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 20
  • 0x9070…e32c SELL Yes $0.05 Jul 17
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.11 Jul 17
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.27 Jul 17
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.27 Jul 17
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.17 Jul 17
  • 0x7dcf…a7bd BUY No $29.94 Jul 17
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.27 Jul 17
  • 0x7dcf…a7bd BUY No $29.94 Jul 17
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.27 Jul 17
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $29.97 Jul 17
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $29.97 Jul 17
  • 0x942e…be27 BUY No $29.37 Jul 17
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.01 Jul 17
  • 0x9070…e32c SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 16
  • 0xd7fc…53bf BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 15
  • 0x0873…09e8 SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 14
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $20.18 Jul 14
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.87 Jul 14
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $116.32 Jul 14

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count. As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.

Comments

Ahsan547 May 19