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How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

Science Vol $1,955 50 traders

<10071%
250–2792%
280–3103%
100–12947%
$1,955 Vol. Science

Outcomes

9
Chance
<100
72% ▲ 3
100–129
41% ▲ 20
130–159
31% ▲ 18
160–189
11% ▼ 3
190–219
1% ▼ 2
220–249
5% ▲ 1
250–279
2%
280–310
3%
310+
1% ▼ 3

Recent trades

40
  • 0x9422…f273 SELL Yes $2.00 4h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 SELL Yes $0.10 5h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $9.89 5h ago
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $4.00 5h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $4.00 5h ago
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $9.40 5h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $9.45 5h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $9.78 5h ago
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $7.00 5h ago
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $9.60 5h ago
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $9.89 5h ago
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $9.90 5h ago
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $9.60 5h ago
  • 0x758e…4916 SELL Yes $9.74 5h ago
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY No $5.89 20h ago
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY No $15.77 20h ago
  • 0xe9f5…cb06 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 22
  • 0x758e…4916 SELL Yes $19.80 Jul 21
  • 0x758e…4916 SELL Yes $13.21 Jul 21
  • 0x758e…4916 SELL Yes $17.60 Jul 21
  • 0x546a…1988 BUY No $5.88 Jul 20
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $19.25 Jul 20
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $24.71 Jul 20
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $24.50 Jul 20
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $24.75 Jul 20
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $24.25 Jul 20
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY Yes $1.66 Jul 17
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY Yes $6.94 Jul 16
  • 0x4ccf…cd14 SELL No $3.94 Jul 15
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $5.20 Jul 14
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $7.60 Jul 14
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $7.60 Jul 14
  • 0x37ea…f395 SELL Yes $0.75 Jul 14
  • 0x892d…3270 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 13
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY Yes $4.60 Jul 12
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY No $22.32 Jul 11
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY Yes $10.20 Jul 11
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY Yes $3.75 Jul 11
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY No $8.49 Jul 11
  • 0x758e…4916 BUY No $10.45 Jul 11

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.

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