Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

"These do not qualify: suspending or postponing talks; refusing one meeting; saying negotiations cannot begin while threats continue; conditional threats to withdraw; statements by people not authorized to speak for the Iranian government. That is important because recent Iranian statements sound severe without clearly satisfying the rule. Iran’s parliamentary security committee said the MOU was “no longer valid,” and one committee member said there was no point continuing negotiations under the current US approach. But this is likely non-qualifying because it came from a parliamentary committee member rather than an established government negotiating authority, and the wording was tied to current or future US conduct rather than an unambiguous executive decision permanently terminating the process" source: GPT 5.6 Sol High

"Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi previously said negotiations would not commence if threats continued. That is explicitly conditional and therefore does not qualify"

"More recently, an Iranian official confirmed that mediators had conveyed a proposal for a ten-day ceasefire intended to revive the interim agreement. That does not prove Iran will accept, but it is evidence against an immediate definitive withdrawal announcement"

"My fair probabilities Deadline Market Yes My fair Yes Fair No July 24 ~3–4% 2–4% 96–98% July 31 ~8% 6–10% 90–94% August 15 ~14–15% 12–18% 82–88% The active war keeps August risk meaningful: the MOU is already in crisis, there is no scheduled next round of final-deal talks, and analysts have said a secondary agreement may be needed to restore the diplomatic framework. But collapse of the framework is not itself enough—Tehran must still make the precise qualifying announcement"

whos this intended for?

for the yes side

Iran will not implement the memorandum of understanding signed with the United States last month after Washington “violated it”, the Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson told reporters. “The other side not only failed to implement it, but violated it and acted contrary to both its text and its spirit,” Esmail Baghaei said Monday, reiterating comments by Iranian officials over the weekend. (CNN)

IRAN STATES MOU IS VALUABLE ONLY IF ALL PARTIES ARE DEDICATED. Iran says that the door to negotiations with the US is still open, as mediators attempt to lower the tensions

Does anyone have a popular Twitter account that could draw attention to this issue? I tried to reach out to support and emailed them, but they've gotten zero response. Something needs to be done, as I can't propose resolution due to the whitelist. They'll just close it due to timeout, even though all the requirements have already been met. This is pure manipulation by one of the moderators. Let's work together to find a solution, otherwise the platform will die at this rate.

bro give a discord. i can help

which requirements have been met loser? "A temporary suspension, pause, or adjournment of negotiations, however open-ended or indefinite, does not constitute a termination unless it is itself clearly and unambiguously framed as a definitive end to participation." It needs to be a formal back off from the MOU.

dont bother, these guys can read, but cant understand what they read

Yea manipulation and manipulated market but there is nothing you can do about that only ask for help email and get nothing and ignored by support.

Wait, can this market even resolve YES if direct statements are not enough?

there are no statements that can make this market go yes, even if mojtaba goes on tiktok and reads exactly the words iran withdraws from MOU it will still resolve to NO

This makes no sense. The foreign minister literally said yesterday that the MOU is dead. This should be resolved as a YES

Trump says he ‘couldn’t care less’ about Iran’s interim deal withdrawal - al jazeera

check newsview 791381 on Iran's MFA website: "nullified and rendered ineffective all components of the June 18 Agreement"

still not termination of participation

WSJ: Iran’s Foreign Ministry said Saturday that the country has formally withdrawn from the agreement

article is titled: Two U.S. Troops Were Killed, One Is Missing After Iran Missile Attack in Jordan

another scam market

nop

Trying to pump before you dump

The last time I read that, it ended in YEP

u should read market rules

BREAKING: Mojitaba said nothing of value

True they will never leave MoU for them is wonderful deal

True, come brother let's make money on the World Cup

I'll go with a combo France win and mbappe over 0.t

After a review I can only tell "YES" holders move to "NO"

Thank you for reviewing. We all trust random people on the internet

Nothing my friend

This market shows how unfair it is with whitelist to be allowed to propose. Those few on whitelist conspire and decide when to propose yes, and they know if and when its gonna happen and take position accordingly

Iran will never fully withdraw from the MOU as its favorable to them and they don’t want to give the US the opportunity to say they have withdrawn and create a new MOU that’s more favorable to them. If what has happened in the past week doesn’t get them fully withdraw then nothing will.

it just did!!!

Mojtaba is going to resolve this within next few hours

its so funny that Yes believes their argument is so strong yet NOBODY is willing to propose xD

only those on white list can propose, you know this full well

so tired of you playin dumb

you should be ashamed of yourself

Mmmmmm

What should Iran say so this can resolve "YES" so I can talk with them

They need to terminate the MoU, not just suspend it. They need to cancel it

Now I know so this will resolve as "NO"

Depends, the US and Iran are escalating. I think the US will do something big after the World Cup

Propose guys

What would be the argument for too soon?

for now? not enough good reporting, the "ending of negotiations" is from hormuz letter, resolving off one post isn't enough

Iran announces it is suspending its memorandum of understanding with the US - Mehr News (1hr ago)

Iranian Foreign Ministry: The memorandum of understanding is based on commitment for commitment, and we will adhere to our commitments as long as America adheres.

Hormuz Letter ''BREAKING: Iran officially and formally exits the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding with the United States, with Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi saying, effective immediately, Iran is suspending all commitments and will not implement any of them after the US “violated and suspended all of its commitments” first, and is now purely focused on defending the country, per Tasnim. Gharibabadi says Iran will “never start negotiations with the US under any circumstances.” How can the reporting be clearer than that??????

because a suspension is not termination of participation

the language clearly states indefinite suspension

yeah, exactly, how does that qualify as "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Iranian government, or an authorized representative of the Iranian government, publicly and officially announces its termination of participation"

A temporary suspension, pause, or adjournment of negotiations, however open-ended or indefinite, does not constitute a termination unless it is itself clearly and unambiguously framed as a definitive end to participation Gharibabadi says Iran will “never start negotiations with the US under any circumstances.” if that is not a clear end to negotiations idk how it can be announced more clearly

done

Iranian channels report that Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister has formally announced Tehran’s withdrawal from the MoU with the United States. He also stated that Iran is suspending the implementation of all commitments undertaken under the agreement. This goes beyond a mere suspension of the deal itself as reported elsewhere: it is presented as a formal withdrawal accompanied by the halt of all obligations. *per @BabakVahdad on X

>"Iran is suspending the implementation" >"This goes beyond a mere suspension" ???

“We also likewise have suspended all of our commitments as a result; we are no longer implementing those commitments,” he added. So, officially, this is the first time the Iranians are saying the MoU is over and they’re not going to implement any clause. - al jazeera