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Iran coup attempt by...?

Geopolitics Vol $2,101,815 50 traders

June 300%
December 3116%
$2,101,815 Vol. Geopolitics

Outcomes

2
Chance
December 31
16% ▲ 3
June 30 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x270b…e632 SELL No $41.50 42m ago
  • 0xe8d6…e410 BUY Yes $100.00 42m ago
  • 0x0bcb…d19e BUY No $5.00 3h ago
  • 0x2937…36e7 BUY No $17.40 6h ago
  • 0xb1b7…0373 BUY Yes $3.00 11h ago
  • 0xef44…6f3b BUY Yes $20.00 17h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $41.56 19h ago
  • 0x720c…8909 BUY Yes $1.00 19h ago
  • 0x84c3…35d4 BUY Yes $2.55 23h ago
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $42.50 23h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $42.50 23h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $129.00 23h ago
  • 0x4478…02a4 BUY Yes $1030.38 23h ago
  • 0x3a91…a770 BUY Yes $2.34 Jul 22
  • 0x01c5…4739 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 21
  • 0x01c5…4739 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 21
  • 0x01c5…4739 SELL Yes $1.50 Jul 21
  • 0xd2c5…91d7 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 21
  • 0xd2c5…91d7 SELL Yes $4.50 Jul 21
  • 0xb959…859c BUY No $25.50 Jul 21
  • 0xbf8d…38dd BUY No $17.00 Jul 21
  • 0x960a…1b17 BUY No $17.00 Jul 21
  • 0x7c4f…96da BUY No $25.50 Jul 21
  • 0x7c4f…96da SELL Yes $7.50 Jul 20
  • 0x748e…f4f2 SELL Yes $7.50 Jul 20
  • 0xc84f…e0c5 BUY No $11099.89 Jul 1
  • 0x4a90…03b5 SELL Yes $3.69 Jul 1
  • 0xe834…72a4 SELL Yes $0.20 Jun 30
  • 0x2179…0ae7 SELL Yes $0.07 Jun 30
  • 0xdc39…8ad8 BUY Yes $11.00 Jun 30
  • 0xe834…72a4 BUY Yes $1.00 Jun 30
  • 0xc30c…6509 BUY No $774.58 Jun 30
  • 0x45fa…b47d SELL Yes $0.04 Jun 30
  • 0xa8c6…44e8 BUY No $7805.23 Jun 30
  • 0x9af9…04ba SELL No $1.18 Jun 30
  • 0x3d9c…d863 SELL No $0.99 Jun 30
  • 0xd4e7…2412 SELL No $54.94 Jun 30
  • 0xd4e7…2412 BUY No $25.00 Jun 30
  • 0xd4e7…2412 BUY No $30.00 Jun 30
  • 0xd031…b594 SELL Yes $0.07 Jun 30

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

Tezcatlipoca Jun 5

MORE DATES

NoSteinNoGate Jun 1

This already happened practically, so either this should resolve YES or it basically can not resolve YES

dooby May 27

Those in position to orchestrate a coup are the very same folks in power.

0xg0r Apr 30

Coup attempted by irgc

Bromley86 Apr 30

Quick, buy more YES!

dumdumdumdum May 19

yes, looks like they will coup themselves.

Tezcatlipoca Apr 23

More dates please

GRIFONESPERANTO Apr 21

Coup happening right now

RooksD000 Mar 18

Hasn't this already been done by the IRGC versus the 'supreme leader'?

RooksD000 Mar 21

yes, Very. beyond belief. and it's contagious so you better keep your distance

crypto-basenji Mar 11

More signals that the IRGC is cracking [link removed]

crypto-basenji Mar 7

More friction signals. Tic Tac… [link removed]

Liebme Mar 1

Get ready for Mossad agent qaani to launch α coup, succeed and then immediately surrender because he managed to pull off α Eli Cohen and trick the entire regime into thinking he’s actually apart of the irgc

crypto-basenji Feb 28

Tic Tac...

EyeOfSauron-230 Feb 23

[link removed]

khorzookhaan Jan 15

[link removed]

IranNuclearProgram Jan 14

some mf just pumped this market

0x57b61439187FF8E08812cA0f8a95993b364EAaD1-1767654854112 Jan 13

The Shah will surely get this started.

NERA Jan 9

[link removed]

rez111 Jan 7

i am Iranian in Iran can me and my friends start a coup?😁

nufonehudis67 Jan 8

you need a go-fund me page and send the link to Trump

SantaKlausSkeptic Jan 8

how do we crowd fund this

johnkop4 Jan 7

Coup by whom? What other factions exist in Iran that have power on elite circles and want the regime gone?

rez111 Jan 7

Hey i am Iranian in Iran can me and my friends start a coup?