Iran full airspace closure by...?
Outcomes
8Recent trades
40- 0x882b…a746 BUY Yes $8.40 1m ago
- 0x6c66…0d67 SELL No $7.88 1m ago
- 0xf915…0c01 BUY No $1.00 6m ago
- 0x595c…1a1d SELL Yes $0.48 7m ago
- 0x595c…1a1d BUY Yes $5.00 7m ago
- 0x29ab…afb8 SELL Yes $6.15 14m ago
- 0xa35e…0188 BUY No $9.15 15m ago
- 0x882b…a746 BUY Yes $11.80 18m ago
- 0xff55…b58e BUY Yes $50.00 24m ago
- 0x1b6f…09d5 SELL No $18.20 28m ago
- 0x73e9…57f2 BUY Yes $2.79 28m ago
- 0xf0c1…bb30 SELL No $19.05 28m ago
- 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $71.00 31m ago
- 0xd980…f637 SELL Yes $14.57 31m ago
- 0x9dfb…e887 SELL No $74.19 32m ago
- 0x311f…74b6 SELL Yes $5.59 32m ago
- 0x73e9…57f2 BUY Yes $2.79 33m ago
- 0x70ca…427e SELL No $2.33 37m ago
- 0x371c…c236 SELL Yes $49.96 38m ago
- 0xda91…9ffd SELL Yes $82.28 39m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY No $16.59 44m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY No $5.59 45m ago
- 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $3.92 45m ago
- 0x4c57…1cef SELL No $2.80 45m ago
- 0xda91…9ffd SELL Yes $5.59 45m ago
- 0xdcec…d169 BUY No $2.46 47m ago
- 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $12.90 47m ago
- 0xdcec…d169 BUY No $2.46 52m ago
- 0xff99…5602 BUY Yes $1000.00 52m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $344.56 52m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $53.89 52m ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY Yes $64.35 52m ago
- 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $34.80 54m ago
- 0xd5d7…4952 BUY No $50.00 55m ago
- 0x3e3e…ea35 SELL No $8.00 57m ago
- 0x7db8…ed19 BUY No $6.00 58m ago
- 0xbbe3…5b92 BUY Yes $10.00 1h ago
- 0x81f0…8b09 SELL No $11.55 1h ago
- 0x81f0…8b09 SELL No $3.08 1h ago
- 0x5144…37c9 BUY Yes $49.50 1h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify. A closure which applies generally to commercial aviation across Iranian airspace, with limited exceptions for certain categories of flights, however, will qualify (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). Qualifying previous examples include the February 28, 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace (https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602289115) and the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508), the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/), and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in Iran (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions, earthquakes, or volcanic eruptions, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments
Explosion Heard in the Kenarak County Area -reports in Iran
Marco Rubio: "Iran is not ready to sign an agreement – and will pay a heavy price."
12:45 AM - U.S. USED A B-1 LONG-RANGE BOMBER TO STRIKE ISLAMIC REVOLUTIONARY GUARD CORPS (IRGC) TARGETS IN IRAN ON TUESDAY, MARKING THE FIRST B-1 MISSION SINCE FIGHTING RESUMED 12 DAYS AGO.
Explosions heard in Qatar and Jordan
- The US struck Eslamabad-e Gharb in western Iran early Thursday - ISNA
B1 bombers attacked in Iran
Hey guys something new happened or as usual?
There are many children who will never be found because they were vaporized. This means that Minab will never return to normal. Yet we know that, with time, parts of our society may normalize relations with those responsible for such killings and may once again accept or even trust their future claims of defending human rights.
Yep, what ☪️ is doing is terrible. A religion in crisis
Six seven
Iran Top Negotiator Ghalibaf says "In a region where we do not sell oil, no one will sell oil...Strait will not return to the way it was before the war."
Iran fires missiles at Jordan. Why are all Arab countries cowards?
Because they afraid to be the next Israel to be attacked to attack the shit out of their enemies and all the world turn on them somehow🤣
dont disrespect missiles like that
bc they are all on the same side at the end of the day.
Smoothing big going to happened… the war back X3 way bigger by the end of the week… Israel and things I can’t say because I don’t want to be arrested and my friends to be dropped of the army.
לך לישון ילד
זה הימור אתה לא יודע שום דבר
חחחחחח… ילד? אני לא אגיד מאיפה אני יודע וזה בחיים לא סתם הימור… בטח לא פה שתגדל תבין
יש יותר מדי הוכחות בשטח וצירופי מקרים שקורים רק לפני א,ב,ג אבל אתה ילד אתה לא תבין אין לך מושג או ידע במזרח התיכון פועולות של מנהיגים ודיבורים ואיך לפענח מה עומד לקרות… חחחחחחחח עזוב אתה ילד עשיתי פה מעל 4 אלף דולר מכך ששמתי 70 לפני כמה חודשים ומאז שיחקתי על רווח והפסדתי לכיף ב5 דקות ביטקוין כי היה לי משעמם בלילה ובשוק אחד שהיה מכור בגלל שחקנים ספציפיים שלא אגיד את שמם שברגע שהם נגדך הפסדת לא משנה אם ניצחת על פי החוקים.
VP-Ns exist yk?
Mossed exist yk?
Trump orders CENTCOM to open the gates of hell after US troops killed
Sup guys how are you today? Long ass night huh
Lets just scramble the ordering of the markets, lessgo!
From this point forward, any time the Islamic Republic of Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, whether it be by Missile, Rocket, Drone, or any other device or weapon, the United States will bomb and destroy ONE BRIDGE OR POWER PLANT, including those located next to, or in, the Capital City of Tehran.
Sirens in Bahrain and explosions in Saudi Arabia
Tomorrow🤌
lol ppl are betting money for trump words 🤣
what are you betting on?
Look like we going to see airspace closer and 2/3 weeks war back according to trump words
This hot latina chick soldier got KIA and Trump blames it on Jordan SMH
name?
Pvt. Isabella Gonzales
ty
NEW: President Trump blames Jordan for 3 American deaths ‘They did slip something through in Jordan. If we had other operators, that wouldn’t have happened.
President Trump: ‘We’ll be hitting Pickaxe Mountain pretty soon very heavily, and there’s nothing they can do about it’
President Trump: ‘We’ve destroyed Iran’s navy, air force, radar, air defense, they have nothing. We destroyed 98%—some say 99%—of their missiles and drones, they may have some but they don’t have a lot. We’re winning very strongly.’
President Trump: ‘Iran will never have a nuclear weapon’
Trump said he is going to attack nuclear power stations soon
Trump says we are not finished at all with Iran
Trump says Iran wants to meet. We have no interest.
Trump just rejected Iran proposed 10 day ceasefire.
Iran fires missiles and drones at Jordan (at least 10 missiles), Qatar and Bahrain
Fox News: US considering broader operation in Iran, including possible attack on Tehran and nuclear facilities* ✍️ Israel is expected to participate, according to US sources, if a decision is made to expand the fighting; deploying additional aircraft in the Middle East is what is preparing for the final part of the preparations. Since July 7, Washington has refrained from attacking Tehran and its nuclear facilities - a policy that is unlikely to change
I think we might be cocking guys🤨 I just can’t prove it
overcooking
NEW: Israel is preparing for an imminent escalation with Iran
Something worse is coming, I can sense that..
Report: It is likely that the Iranian armed forces will launch a security ground operation towards Kuwait in the coming hour
Iran launches missiles to Jordan. And according Israeli i24, citing Israeli security source, says The US is preparing the next phase of the military campaign against the Islamic Republic, and the phase will begin in the coming days.
The KIAs in this batch actually look good, one super hot chick (RIP) and one hipster
Every time Iran kills an American Soldier they will pay for that killing many times over! This directive has been passed on to Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Daniel Caine, and every Leader in the Military. President DONALD J. TRUMP
they will pay in polymarket shares!
Guys only for me the fucking website look like everything bigger and zoomed? Shi driving me crazy
its normal for me man, it maybe some type of bug on your computer
I’m one the phone but yea maybe brother
Btw Jordan help them to know where to attack..