Israel military action against Beirut by...?
Outcomes
4Recent trades
40- 0x97cb…c910 SELL Yes $70.00 2h ago
- 0xfe72…f18c BUY Yes $55.00 2h ago
- 0xfe72…f18c BUY Yes $8.69 2h ago
- 0x4ae5…6079 SELL No $69.32 4h ago
- 0x4867…a6f8 SELL No $69.32 4h ago
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $493.73 4h ago
- 0xd3ae…5b63 BUY Yes $119.92 4h ago
- 0xaf85…86e1 BUY Yes $11.00 5h ago
- 0x0dcc…d87c SELL No $10.21 7h ago
- 0x3811…2259 BUY No $8.45 8h ago
- 0x9125…fa8d SELL No $3.55 9h ago
- 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $10.47 9h ago
- 0x08a6…f3cc SELL Yes $0.01 10h ago
- 0x08a6…f3cc SELL Yes $0.01 10h ago
- 0x5bd0…c562 SELL Yes $45.15 11h ago
- 0x3a23…0f72 BUY Yes $33.00 11h ago
- 0xd67b…5780 SELL No $35.60 13h ago
- 0xd67b…5780 SELL No $68.49 13h ago
- 0x2c44…2f07 SELL No $1.17 15h ago
- 0x0514…b196 BUY Yes $40.00 15h ago
- 0x5bd0…c562 BUY Yes $55.00 16h ago
- 0x97cb…c910 BUY Yes $100.00 16h ago
- 0x9008…ce00 BUY Yes $8.00 17h ago
- 0x35f7…8058 BUY No $1.00 17h ago
- 0xfb69…2f2a SELL Yes $0.01 21h ago
- 0x46b3…d3de SELL Yes $0.00 21h ago
- 0x46b3…d3de SELL Yes $0.55 21h ago
- 0x91c9…d319 BUY No $10.00 22h ago
- 0x5c91…5ccc SELL No $167.32 22h ago
- 0x97cb…c910 BUY Yes $120.00 22h ago
- 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $39.84 23h ago
- 0xd2e5…0f0e SELL No $446.48 23h ago
- 0x2c2b…e55d BUY No $43.41 Jul 22
- 0x0dcc…d87c SELL No $1.02 Jul 22
- 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $6.51 Jul 22
- 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $54.46 Jul 22
- 0xf15c…78cc SELL No $13.80 Jul 22
- 0xf143…4ef2 SELL Yes $45.27 Jul 22
- 0x07bb…fcca SELL Yes $10.64 Jul 22
- 0x4478…02a4 SELL Yes $4.42 Jul 22
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Greater Beirut by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Greater Beirut. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Greater Beirut do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Greater Beirut” refers to the continuous urbanized zone that encompasses all of the Beirut Governorate and the adjacent coastal and suburban municipalities of the Mount Lebanon Governorate. For this market, the geographic boundaries as defined in the map “Location of the Greater Beirut Area” (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Beirut-3ffb23044f.png) from Faour & Mhawej (2014), Mapping Urban Transitions in the Greater Beirut Area Using Different Space Platforms (https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/3/3/941) will be used. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory based on the referenced map, it will not qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IDT) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Lebanon and credible reporting.
Comments
Someone propose for July 14th🙏
Poly market perp code : 01ei0izo
The US forbids Israel from attacking anything major in Southern Lebanon. Nothing will happen in Beirut anytime soon
No needs to be right all the time. Yes only needs to be right once.
Please add market next UMA market scam by . . .