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July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science Vol $39,504 50 traders

1.20–1.24ºC82%
1.25–1.29ºC16%
<1.10ºC0%
1.15–1.19ºC3%
$39,504 Vol. Science

Outcomes

6
Chance
<1.10ºC
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC
<1% ▼ 1
1.15–1.19ºC
3% ▼ 11
1.20–1.24ºC
82% ▲ 6
1.25–1.29ºC
16% ▲ 8
>1.29ºC
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x4041…6f52 SELL Yes $0.05 4h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $9.32 9h ago
  • 0xb566…121c BUY Yes $1.00 11h ago
  • 0x65f5…47c7 BUY Yes $1.00 16h ago
  • 0x34db…1b63 SELL Yes $5.25 21h ago
  • 0x43de…e520 BUY Yes $1.00 22h ago
  • 0x6206…cf4c BUY Yes $1.00 22h ago
  • 0x1186…051b BUY Yes $29.54 22h ago
  • 0x34db…1b63 SELL Yes $20.00 23h ago
  • 0x34db…1b63 BUY Yes $59.62 23h ago
  • 0x34db…1b63 SELL Yes $13.97 23h ago
  • 0x29af…f88d BUY No $5.00 23h ago
  • 0x23d8…0288 BUY Yes $114.26 23h ago
  • 0x2a2b…4b88 BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 22
  • 0xb226…4163 BUY No $17.59 Jul 22
  • 0xb049…9e8f SELL Yes $3.60 Jul 21
  • 0x7e33…fe0b BUY No $29.14 Jul 21
  • 0x34db…1b63 BUY Yes $2.29 Jul 21
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $1.74 Jul 21
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.15 Jul 21
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.09 Jul 21
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $8.42 Jul 21
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.15 Jul 21
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.86 Jul 21
  • 0x34db…1b63 BUY Yes $3.51 Jul 21
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $3.80 Jul 21
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $18.40 Jul 21
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $58.77 Jul 21
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $58.53 Jul 21
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $54.28 Jul 21
  • 0xa328…4977 BUY No $58.94 Jul 21
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $39.68 Jul 21
  • 0x34db…1b63 BUY Yes $14.66 Jul 21
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $7.60 Jul 21
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $36.80 Jul 21
  • 0x7609…be70 BUY No $29.76 Jul 21
  • 0xb226…4163 BUY No $5.75 Jul 21
  • 0xb226…4163 BUY No $5.60 Jul 21
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.06 Jul 21
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $2.06 Jul 21

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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