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Macron out by...?

France Vol $2,089,301 50 traders

December 31, 20250%
June 30, 20260%
October 31, 20250%
July 31, 20260%
$2,089,301 Vol. France

Outcomes

4
Chance
December 31, 2025 Resolved
0%
July 31, 2026
<1%
June 30, 2026 Resolved
0%
October 31, 2025 Resolved
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x83d6…8d3e BUY No $249.00 20h ago
  • 0x46e7…db30 BUY No $149.37 20h ago
  • 0xe4e8…b071 BUY No $99.50 20h ago
  • 0x364a…db0e BUY No $5.52 Jul 22
  • 0x85f9…f3e0 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0x2411…58fe BUY No $7.99 Jul 20
  • 0x1fb2…a893 SELL No $106.93 Jul 20
  • 0x63dc…6839 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 20
  • 0xa3ba…f54a BUY No $99.60 Jul 20
  • 0x99fe…5705 BUY No $4.98 Jul 19
  • 0x63dc…6839 BUY Yes $2.61 Jul 19
  • 0x94be…2151 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 19
  • 0x64ce…3c70 SELL Yes $0.02 Jul 19
  • 0x64ce…3c70 SELL No $4.95 Jul 19
  • 0x9d06…c4e8 SELL No $15.41 Jul 18
  • 0xac0d…cdfa SELL No $1.37 Jul 18
  • 0x39cb…77fb SELL No $0.73 Jul 18
  • 0x0e19…3f79 SELL No $0.38 Jul 18
  • 0x1f0a…f7aa SELL No $990.00 Jul 18
  • 0x9d06…c4e8 SELL No $0.12 Jul 18
  • 0x1241…d325 SELL No $1.00 Jul 18
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $55.02 Jul 18
  • 0xcaab…24dd BUY No $99.20 Jul 17
  • 0x1241…d325 BUY No $1.00 Jul 17
  • 0xaf8d…dd9e BUY Yes $37.00 Jul 17
  • 0x4e0c…9654 SELL No $94.75 Jul 1
  • 0x4203…6646 SELL No $1.16 Jun 30
  • 0xd256…dbad SELL No $3.10 Jun 30
  • 0x67b9…c3ed SELL No $3.70 Jun 30
  • 0xe301…be70 SELL No $18.02 Jun 30
  • 0x888f…a542 SELL No $3.76 Jun 30
  • 0x0e4c…c962 BUY No $1122.22 Jun 30
  • 0x9b4b…591c SELL No $1.92 Jun 30
  • 0x9b4b…591c BUY No $1.94 Jun 30
  • 0x01d2…c603 SELL No $0.22 Jun 30
  • 0x72e0…0b96 SELL No $1.95 Jun 30
  • 0x01d2…c603 SELL No $0.07 Jun 30
  • 0x01d2…c603 SELL No $0.23 Jun 30
  • 0x01d2…c603 SELL No $0.04 Jun 30
  • 0x01d2…c603 SELL No $0.92 Jun 30

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Comments

LorenzoVM Apr 4

Could we open december 31st and eventually another one later ?

DontTrustMe Jun 30

Bit pointless tbh. Macron will finish his second term, there is no uncertainty.

weixian Nov 16

Macron will step down early, but with all the protests and politics, who knows what could happen before his term ends.

stockgold Nov 15

2 et 9% c est ridicule, il y a des calls safu encore plus gourmands ! Foncez la bas, laissez-moi me goinfrer comme un force.

stockgold Nov 15

*forcener

Lucaasaas Jan 2

c'est quoi un call safu ?

Matezzi Feb 26

Laisses, il est taré

LasourceX Mar 17

Le frérot il parle tout seul

stockgold Nov 13

Macron le despot reste dictateur de la france jusqu'en 2059

stockgold Nov 13

bounggaaaaaaa

0x8a8697fEb16F4F2dafb4fBD1efdd349Db675571D-1761747156906 Nov 11

Macron ne tiendra pas jusqu'a decembre, 20 USD sur cette annee

stockgold Nov 13

petit joueur, si tu crois en ta conviction pose moi un bon 10k

DamienFrost Nov 6

Macron's forced exit by summer 2026 amid pension riots and EU budget woes could hand the reins to a populist firebrand eager to torch Brussels' fiscal orthodoxy.

dodolord Nov 2

it's free

Wermer Oct 27

Macarons are delicious

Ulyssesy Oct 23

French Rose

FragMalDenRalle Oct 19

they cant even hold elections this quickly

ajtsoK Oct 20

I HATE FRENCH bureaucracy

DFK Oct 11

At this point, who knows? It's starting to give Louis XVI hiding out in his palace vibes. If - once? - Lecornu gets kicked out, all bets are off.

Isidre3x2 Oct 7

Horizons president asking for elections. This is close, guys...

DontTrustMe Oct 7

Once a budget has been voted... in 2026.

stockgold Nov 13

frere tu habites meme pas en france de quoi tu me parles

AnaFav Oct 7

Memelord stays with us

VictorT Oct 7

[link removed]

VictorT Oct 7

[link removed]

stockgold Nov 13

mais vous comprennez donc rien

Waterfall Oct 5

@SatoAkira un ptit mot sur le fabuleux nouveau gouvernement ? Bruno de retour, je suis en fou rire

DontTrustMe Sep 11

I think it's a safe "No" yeah. Right now, the most crucial thing for France is to vote a budget for 2026. Macron's resignation would hardly solve anything. He wouldn't want to appear as a failed president who was forced to resign and who plunged France into even more uncertain times. Only new general elections being called before the end of the year is a realistic possibility.

Waterfall Sep 11

He wants to stay, and no one will remove him, LFI is funny thinking they have a chance to make him leave kek. Not a single president resigned in like 70 years, he won't be the first, especially after being president after 8 years

DontTrustMe Sep 11

LFI even know themselves that their destitution attempt has strictly 0.0000% chance of succeeding. If there was a way for Macron to spin his resignation as a graceful and courageous act to do, he might have been the kind of guy to actually do it. But in the current context, it's impossible. Plus his own camp is not even ready.

Waterfall Sep 11

And as you said, even his resignation wouldn't lead to anything

DFK Sep 11

Not done loading up...kinda disappointed. Maybe the 18th will yield better odds.

Waterfall Sep 11

10% for 3/4 months is still insane, around 30/40% per year is a dream investment, with very to little no risk if we're being honest, there's more chance to see him die than resign

DFK Sep 12

We agree. However I was hoping to get 15%. But there is still the 18th for that haha

Waterfall Sep 9

Aight thanks for that free 10% in 3 month

JeanneAuSecours9 Sep 2

si ce connard tombe, je vais jouir encore plus fort que la Brigitte apres qu'elle ai baise le petit Manu 14 ans

nicoco89 Sep 9

bahahahhaha

WHITERACEIBEST Aug 26

He'll get out with his first minister ! :)

Loriztx Aug 26

You don't understand anything about French political system, there is no world in which Macron is out.

WHITERACEIBEST Aug 28

YOU don't understand anything about frnch politics. It's sure that if his PM goes down, and semi-chaos takes the coutry by storm in sept, he'll be weak, and who knows ... U are just trying to fit your opinion here.

Danar Aug 28

it's not extremely likely but definitely could happen

nicoco89 Aug 25

Alors peut-etre

louis44239 Aug 25

Allez on pump Macron

jeydm9 Jul 26

What if he just die ?

2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4 Apr 23

I don't understand this market. Why he'd be out?

DFK Apr 27

There are a few crisis brewing in France, and a complete political paralysis that French people blame Macron for. He went through a number of governments and is kinda out of magic bullets. As always in France the make or break of this market will be in September when protests and strike will likely pop up everywhere, the question will be about the intensity of those, and the asks. It's not impossible they ask for Macron's head, but for him to accept to be guillotined is another story.

neolelu May 3

me neither its looks like free because he will never resign and said he never will...

lollybet Sep 4

Bro called it 4 months ago

THEZOHANMamdani Mar 31

Today's ban of Le Pen will only put more pressure on Macron

The04 Apr 1

Non

The04 Apr 1

Jordan will put more pressure

Manu888 May 4

Absolutely not

vanaik May 4

it was a court decision and she actually stole money. Hardly Marcon's fault

THEZOHANMamdani May 4

why is Lagarda not in prison then? she took much more...and the judge has openly called for not voting Le Pen before the last election, judges are becoming more and more of a problem...

vanaik May 4

you're deflecting and Lagarde was not even accused of embezzlement

THEZOHANMamdani May 5

still you do see my point that the judge was not a neutral one as it should be...but as I said, biased judges becoming a serious problem (also in US and Germany especially)

melamakrabutanidro Feb 17

yes please

Leleflores88 Feb 10

Brigitte macron is a man

Leleflores88 Feb 13

You have no father 😂

simonchanceux May 7

mdr sachant qu'on a retrouver son frere et qu'on a tout les preuve que votre theorie fumeuse est fake j'espere qu'il vont cree un pari la dessus qu'on prennent l'argent des consanguin comme toi