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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Middle East Vol $5,957,265 119 traders

July 311%
July 150%
June 300%
March 310%
$5,957,265 Vol. Middle East

Outcomes

14
Chance
June 30 Resolved
0%
June 19 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
June 26 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 31
1%
July 15 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
August 31
6% ▼ 1
September 30
9% ▼ 1
July 4 Resolved
0%
December 31
20% ▲ 1
March 13 Resolved
0%
March 16 Resolved
0%
March 31 Resolved
0%
April 30 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
May 31 Resolved
0% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xc788…f2e1 SELL Yes $0.44 2h ago
  • 0x4e3d…8554 SELL Yes $109.91 2h ago
  • 0x1aab…6c6f SELL No $70.14 2h ago
  • 0xfbb8…1fe9 SELL No $18.80 2h ago
  • 0xf885…d719 SELL No $61.93 5h ago
  • 0xff93…c5b0 BUY No $110.00 6h ago
  • 0x7c6b…46f9 BUY No $123.00 6h ago
  • 0x30d0…b1d5 BUY No $150.00 7h ago
  • 0xdf43…1330 SELL No $2.09 8h ago
  • 0x9125…fa8d SELL No $2.80 9h ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 BUY No $25.00 10h ago
  • 0x789a…1dda BUY No $14.85 10h ago
  • 0x4eba…c7d7 BUY No $2.00 10h ago
  • 0xb51b…b4d9 SELL No $1715.33 10h ago
  • 0x38b8…6219 BUY Yes $1.00 19h ago
  • 0xfea9…7a25 SELL Yes $1.46 21h ago
  • 0xb1a1…d308 BUY No $403.20 21h ago
  • 0xfea9…7a25 SELL Yes $2.87 21h ago
  • 0xae7f…31c9 BUY No $350.00 22h ago
  • 0x789a…1dda SELL No $14.85 22h ago
  • 0x0044…cb2c SELL Yes $0.01 22h ago
  • 0xea1d…e993 BUY No $24.46 22h ago
  • 0x789a…1dda BUY No $14.85 22h ago
  • 0xc9fa…8d88 BUY No $1.50 22h ago
  • 0xd48f…2132 SELL No $519.88 22h ago
  • 0x852c…d0e5 BUY No $19.00 23h ago
  • 0x7690…c04f SELL Yes $1.70 23h ago
  • 0x789a…1dda BUY No $14.55 Jul 22
  • 0xb51b…b4d9 SELL No $1012.99 Jul 22
  • 0x8672…62bc SELL No $8.89 Jul 22
  • 0xdea5…46ae SELL Yes $0.24 Jul 22
  • 0x817c…f3ba SELL Yes $1.20 Jul 22
  • 0x755c…ba9f SELL No $21.81 Jul 22
  • 0xb1a1…d308 BUY No $178.20 Jul 22
  • 0x9686…8ee5 BUY No $114.00 Jul 22
  • 0x4866…7a33 BUY No $186.00 Jul 22
  • 0x3a13…940e BUY No $172.00 Jul 22
  • 0xd65f…656c BUY Yes $3.04 Jul 22
  • 0xea1d…e993 SELL No $0.23 Jul 21
  • 0xd96a…d8ce SELL Yes $0.25 Jul 21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Comments

dreivierteljaeger Jul 14

Please add Months between September - December

NOIZYUV Jul 13

Trump: Most of Iran's leaders have been killed. Khamenei has been wiped out; his son is 90% wiped out.

Wunkles Jul 12

If anyone is trading on the IRGC's X post, save your money. One of their "new pictures" was literally from the wikipedia that is years old lol and the others look like existing pictures with slight AI alterations. IRGC has lied and posted clear AI videos in the past which did not count so they are not going to be a source of resolution for this market.

Schnitzelwiener Jul 12

This is obviously AI generated.

lawqi Jul 12

The lack of reliable consensus is enough to give a NO.

0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 Jul 12

Yeah, push July above December

0xbF4d202382 Jul 12

The IRGC-released photo claims Mojtaba Khamenei is in "complete health," but this directly contradicts the mainstream consensus from credible reporting about his reported severe injuries (facial and leg wounds) from the February strikes and his prolonged absence from public view. This discrepancy strongly suggests the image was released purely for propaganda purposes to counter rumors, rather than being a genuine, recent depiction. Under the market rules, only authentic images count — given the clear mismatch with independent reports, this should not qualify as a Yes

lawqi Jul 12

The authenticity of this photo cannot be guaranteed, and it does not meet the YES requirement defined in the rule.

0xbF4d202382 Jul 12

The authenticity of this new IRGC-released photo of Mojtaba Khamenei is very difficult to verify independently. There is currently no clear consensus from credible international media (Reuters, BBC, NYT, etc.) confirming it as a genuinely new image taken recently, rather than archival, manipulated, or AI-assisted material. According to the market rules, only authentic photos/video taken and released in the timeframe count. Given the lack of reliable verification and Iran's history with such images, this should not be enough for a Yes resolution on the July 15 market. Waiting for stronger independent confirmation.

Spirit-LT Jul 12

If you know - you know

Taytaaaaan Jul 12

If I don’t know - share the info with me.

0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 Jul 12

He sold his Yes as he wrote it.

Taytaaaaan Jul 12

But anyway the market went up significantly, there were some news or an insight.

0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 Jul 12

Probably some new people found out about this morning's "news" about Mojtaba appearing on Tuesday and decided that they are the smartest and the quickest to react.

Taytaaaaan Jul 12

What do you think about July 15?

0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 Jul 12

After not appearing at the funeral, not sending a message in person and sending a message about revenge against leaders it's unlikely he appears during war escalation. But I wouldn't dare to buy No.

dthkuy Jul 12

I like this bet, not a day goes by without someone seeing a ghost again.

skyyboy Jul 12

What’s going on?

0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 Jul 12

Another new fake? What is this one about?

hopefullylucky Jul 12

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Sunbreon Jul 12

It’s AI generated friend and no consensus of credible reporting can verify its authenticity

hopefullylucky Jul 12

Iran's Revolutionary Guard on Saturday published a new image of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, saying he was in "complete health" amid what it described as attempts by his opponents to spread doubts about his condition. The image was published by the official website of the Supreme Leader's office, according to the IRGC's press channel on X.

hopefullylucky Jul 12

someone resolve pls, this is the offical tasnim posting a NEW Photo of Mojtaba khamenei

abdoohl Jul 12

When Mojtaba also die he n Lindsey can bang in the afterlife!

abdoohl Jul 12

Iranian State TV: ‘The anti-Iranian U.S. Senator, Lindsey Graham, died after seeing he could not overthrow the Iranian nation. He was gay and unmarried, leaving behind no offspring to pollute the world.’

Analista. Jul 12

lol

Goldiggerz Jul 12

The pig has been slaughtered long ago. But keep pumping fake news, why not? 😝

0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff Jul 12

a commemoration ceremony will be held by the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Hosseini Khamenei (may his shadow extend to the highest) on Tuesday, July 13, 1405, from 5:00 PM to 7:00 PM at the Imam Khomeini (RA) Shrine in Tehran.

Taytaaaaan Jul 12

A link or a source?

0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff Jul 12

is posted on the T elegram by both Fars and Mehr

0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff Jul 12

obviously grain of salt with this stuff, but it's the first serious 'news' regarding this for a very long time

Goldiggerz Jul 12

You are a moron.

0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff Jul 12

Sure, I'd probably have made more money if I kept this to myself, but I'm just trying to share the love brother

Goldiggerz Jul 12

Lol keep buying yes than, more free money for those who have bare minimum of common sense 🤣.

gods-eye Jul 11

His new photograph has been released and multiple iranian official channels announced that it’s a new image (taken after his revenge letter today)

hefdel Jul 11

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

bulleye Jul 11

Who is resolving this?

bulleye Jul 11

This says images or videos. So this should resolve to a yes

bulleye Jul 11

x_com/i/status/2075955644906033446

0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 Jul 11

Damn, Twitter grifters just keep pumping July 15 with more and more fakes

bulleye Jul 11

Are you saying News Agency are grifters as well?

abdoohl Jul 11

With the launch of the new website of the Office of Imam Mujtaba Husayni Khamenei, a new and previously unseen photograph of him has been published. 🔥 🔥

bastani Jul 11

😂😂😂

NOIZYUV Jul 11

🤣🤣It's crazy how you guys make up those lies and then truly believe them. Quite a talent, but not surprising since Sharia law allows it!

abdoohl Jul 11

everytings bout yous a lie man

0xqx Jul 11

CONFIRMED: THE CUTOUT WILL LEAD THE CEREMONY

dthkuy Jul 11

Iran is the first country led by ghost

Schnitzelwiener Jul 11

Khamenei has died. Long live Khamenei!

Toncar16 Jul 11

Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is expected to issue what’s been described as an “important message” in the coming hours, following the conclusion of his father’s week-long state funeral in Mashhad. Beyond his continued absence from public view, and the security concerns that kept him from attending the funeral himself, the message is expected to address the funeral’s domestic and regional implications, the renewed tension with Washington, Trump’s declaration that the ceasefire is over, and the intensifying debate inside Iran over whether further negotiations still serve a purpose.

Taytaaaaan Jul 10

Why some people are still buying Yes for July 15 and others are selling No??? The chance is too low I guess.

NOIZYUV Jul 10

The guy is dead

Mission3 Jul 10

seems they will not appear in public by 15 july

abdoohl Jul 10

The chapter of Khamenei is closed. The chapter of Khamenei begins. 🔥 🔥 🔥

NOIZYUV Jul 10

2 terrorist pigs who deserve to burn in hell

12beduins Jul 10

you deserves to burn in hell man

NOIZYUV Jul 10

Maybe,but Khamenei is burning there as we speak

abdoohl Jul 10

moment of clarity

abdoohl Jul 10

Martyred Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei has been buried in Mashhad. The man who fought American and Zionist imperialism for decades, deserves the highest respect from all who strive for a free world and multipolarity.

NOIZYUV Jul 10

The pig is burning in hell

estoicc Jul 10

BREAKING: The Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei will hold commemorative prayers tommorrow in Qom, for his father and former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.