Sign Up
← Markets

Next Claude Opus released on...?

AI Vol $96,474 50 traders

July 2390%
No release by July 313%
July 270%
July 210%
$96,474 Vol. AI

Outcomes

18
Chance
July 15 or prior Resolved
0% ▼ 25
July 16 Resolved
0% ▲ 23
July 17 Resolved
0% ▼ 26
July 18 Resolved
0% ▼ 4
July 19 Resolved
0% ▼ 9
July 20 Resolved
0% ▼ 4
July 21 Resolved
0% ▼ 10
July 22 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 23
90% ▲ 85
July 24
4% ▼ 12
July 25
<1% ▼ 4
July 26
<1% ▼ 4
July 27
<1% ▼ 16
July 28
2% ▼ 6
July 29
<1% ▼ 22
July 30
1% ▼ 10
July 31
<1% ▼ 18
No release by July 31
3% ▼ 16

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6964…ef53 BUY No $30.03 Jul 21
  • 0xd6d7…0e1f BUY No $4.92 Jul 21
  • 0xc2ac…828b BUY No $5.00 Jul 20
  • 0x1a93…24e0 BUY No $10.19 Jul 20
  • 0x2e12…9ba1 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 20
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $0.11 Jul 20
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $1.14 Jul 20
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $1.18 Jul 20
  • 0x5d1f…e6d2 SELL No $20.20 Jul 20
  • 0x3329…43a6 SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 20
  • 0xeab7…b389 SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 20
  • 0x1924…dff3 SELL Yes $0.40 Jul 20
  • 0x5d1f…e6d2 BUY No $20.20 Jul 20
  • 0xa98c…9e07 BUY No $13.10 Jul 20
  • 0x2400…4afb SELL No $18.97 Jul 20
  • 0x2400…4afb BUY No $19.00 Jul 20
  • 0x4090…5bba BUY No $8.80 Jul 19
  • 0x6795…c55d BUY No $82.65 Jul 19
  • 0x1964…d43e BUY No $28.20 Jul 19
  • 0xfd59…0231 BUY No $12.72 Jul 19
  • 0xfd59…0231 BUY No $4.65 Jul 19
  • 0x3f2a…5272 BUY No $34.30 Jul 19
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $5.00 Jul 19
  • 0xbb7d…9533 BUY No $10.00 Jul 19
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $9.69 Jul 19
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $9.21 Jul 19
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $2.02 Jul 19
  • 0xfd59…0231 BUY No $15.12 Jul 19
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $21.85 Jul 19
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $9.50 Jul 19
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $0.50 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.50 Jul 19
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $1.00 Jul 19
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL Yes $1.00 Jul 19
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL Yes $1.20 Jul 19
  • 0x5a21…9318 SELL Yes $4.53 Jul 19
  • 0xfd59…0231 BUY No $37.82 Jul 19
  • 0x816b…9ec7 BUY No $9.99 Jul 19
  • 0xf085…02af BUY No $29.97 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $19.86 Jul 18

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments