Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
Outcomes
6Recent trades
40- 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $18.04 35m ago
- 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $24.06 35m ago
- 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $18.48 45m ago
- 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $46.20 45m ago
- 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $25.59 48m ago
- 0x3b69…01d7 SELL No $46.35 49m ago
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $4.20 49m ago
- 0x2132…7657 BUY No $44.00 49m ago
- 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $46.38 50m ago
- 0x2132…7657 BUY Yes $15.13 50m ago
- 0x2132…7657 BUY Yes $38.45 50m ago
- 0x126e…c360 SELL Yes $13.00 6h ago
- 0xcceb…f030 SELL Yes $34.20 6h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $11.99 6h ago
- 0x7c71…9338 SELL Yes $46.35 8h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $13.23 8h ago
- 0x9eda…6e19 SELL Yes $2.46 8h ago
- 0x9eda…6e19 SELL Yes $13.00 8h ago
- 0x7c71…9338 SELL Yes $11.99 8h ago
- 0xb89f…1c44 BUY No $133.58 8h ago
- 0x7c71…9338 BUY Yes $31.11 8h ago
- 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $3.35 8h ago
- 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $9.10 8h ago
- 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $33.50 8h ago
- 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $848.59 8h ago
- 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $30.87 8h ago
- 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $3.25 9h ago
- 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY No $21.83 10h ago
- 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $9.72 10h ago
- 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $67.17 10h ago
- 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY No $59.57 10h ago
- 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $0.93 10h ago
- 0x0182…34ea BUY No $1.90 10h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $6.20 10h ago
- 0x8ead…f333 SELL No $6.87 10h ago
- 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $31.75 10h ago
- 0x94bb…c320 BUY Yes $20.25 10h ago
- 0x4a2b…af20 BUY No $68.47 10h ago
- 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $59.85 10h ago
- 0x9eda…6e19 SELL Yes $30.50 10h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Claude Opus model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Opus" may qualify (e.g., claude-Opus-4.9, claude-Opus-5.0-thinking, claude-Opus-5.1-preview, or similar). Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, or another non-Opus variant will not qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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