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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes10%
No90%
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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
10%
▲ 3
Recent trades
25- 0x42aa…7d26 SELL Yes $0.31 3h ago
- 0xaa65…6ea1 BUY Yes $5.00 6h ago
- 0x6497…558c SELL Yes $5.28 13h ago
- 0xc866…a478 BUY Yes $200.00 15h ago
- 0x35f1…9b46 SELL Yes $9.73 21h ago
- 0x35f1…9b46 SELL Yes $18.75 Jul 21
- 0x35f1…9b46 SELL Yes $14.71 Jul 21
- 0xec47…0c22 SELL Yes $1.69 Jul 20
- 0x810f…26c7 SELL No $90.00 Jul 19
- 0x5cd1…0446 BUY No $53.69 Jul 19
- 0x34a1…7486 BUY No $125.28 Jul 19
- 0x34a1…7486 BUY No $50.00 Jul 19
- 0x1534…044d SELL No $4.45 Jul 18
- 0x42aa…7d26 SELL Yes $1.90 Jul 17
- 0x7b8b…1ae8 SELL No $109.90 Jul 16
- 0xbc3a…e3bc SELL No $111.25 Jul 16
- 0x39d3…7c7c BUY No $10.00 Jul 15
- 0xa324…7ffe SELL Yes $7.27 Jul 14
- 0x18dd…5c04 BUY No $9.00 Jul 14
- 0xae35…76db BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 14
- 0xa324…7ffe BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 14
- 0xa324…7ffe BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 14
- 0x1bdf…1b74 SELL No $92.17 Jul 13
- 0x42aa…7d26 BUY Yes $2.47 Jul 13
- 0xa368…4f09 SELL No $2.28 Jul 13
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Comments
I would say this is a freeroll for NO. If AGI really comes this website and money wouldn’t mean anything
its not about AGI creation, its about announcement, which is very different nowdays
NVIDIA annouced they achieved AGI, now the next's like OpenAI will follow. 100% free money..
Nvidia announced, no the next's will follow
We already have AGI
Hahahaha
Anyone who pays taxes does, yes.
Feels unlikely. The term 'AGI' feels quite unfashionable now in 2026. Also, Sam Altman has expressed doubts of the utility of the term, and OpenAI and Microsoft have signed new agreements saying that OpenAI can't unilaterally declare that they achieved AGI without it being vetted by a panel of experts. In any case, OpenAI's main goal now is profitability.
Would make the odds much more reliable if this was included in the 4% annual payout program for long duration markets
Most free 19% return I've seen so far. However, waiting for a year for this to resolve will be painful...
Half way there